TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Piotr Brozek 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:57 and never touched: 82.2% is still 82.2%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
82.2%
82.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Piotr Brozek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Piotr Brozek at 82.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–2 Piotr Brozek Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1171 vs Brozek 1497
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 325 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 60% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Brozek 80%
Brozek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +1 · Brozek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% · Strong (leans Brozek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 4.50 / Brozek 1.17
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Brozek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13216076
Szymanski4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog21% won 88 of 420
Down 0–1, comes back11% 30 of 285
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 205
Brozek1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayBrozek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBrozek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski2Brozek1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S2Szymanski0Brozek3n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S3Szymanski0Brozek3n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzymanskiBrozekS − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match30.038.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 470 vs 101 / 18023.8%56.1%112 / 470 vs 101 / 180Avg sets wonper match1.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekSzymanski 4.50/Brozek 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 31 · 14:40I. Szymanski44117411113P. Brozek4451111892
LAug 31 · 06:05I. Szymanski29115491P. Brozek3741111113
LAug 19 · 02:10I. Szymanski175570P. Brozek331111113
I. Szymanski10
WSep 29 · 13:55R. Gajda1.1461090I. Szymanski5.001112113LSep 29 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33101111123I. Szymanski3.251288101LSep 29 · 12:15I. Szymanski2.6351111482K. Schaniel1.44117711113WSep 29 · 10:35I. Szymanski4.331111113R. Idaczyk1.209580WSep 29 · 09:50K. Kowalski2.759870I. Szymanski1.401111113LSep 29 · 08:35I. Szymanski2.75115991K. Schaniel1.4071111113LSep 29 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.2511951192P. Przewlocki1.33911116113LSep 29 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.331187101K. Kowalski3.2591111123LSep 29 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.334480R. Gajda1.201111113LSep 29 · 03:00I. Szymanski4.00781151R. Idaczyk1.2211118113
P. Brozek10
WSep 22 · 14:40P. Brozek1.501211113W. Urban2.5010690WSep 22 · 13:05P. Brozek1.221111113M. Skuril4.007730LSep 22 · 11:50P. Brozek1.8012611792R. Niemiec1.911011711113WSep 22 · 10:10P. Brozek2.001011116123O. Jadach1.73128911102WSep 22 · 09:00P. Brozek1.6112711113P. Przewlocki2.201011971WSep 22 · 07:45O. Jadach1.73811100P. Brozek2.001113123WSep 22 · 06:55M. Skuril2.252720P. Brozek1.571111113WSep 22 · 06:05P. Brozek1.611114113W. Urban2.2061210WSep 22 · 04:30P. Brozek1.6771111113P. Przewlocki2.10115961LSep 22 · 03:50R. Niemiec2.10117119123P. Brozek1.67611711102
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Sep 30 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.36K. Kowalski3.00—Sep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40P. Przewlocki1.30—Sep 30 · 08:35I. Szymanski4.50O. Jadach1.17—Sep 30 · 09:50I. Szymanski1.36K. Kowalski3.00—Sep 30 · 10:35I. Szymanski6.00P. Brozek1.11—Sep 30 · 12:15I. Szymanski4.50O. Jadach1.17—Sep 30 · 13:05I. Szymanski3.40P. Przewlocki1.30—Sep 30 · 13:55I. Szymanski6.00K. Adamus1.11—
P. Brozek
Sep 30 · 04:30P. Brozek1.44P. Przewlocki2.63—Sep 30 · 05:15P. Brozek1.61K. Adamus2.20—Sep 30 · 07:20P. Brozek1.91O. Jadach1.80—Sep 30 · 08:10P. Brozek1.30K. Kowalski3.40—Sep 30 · 09:00P. Brozek1.44P. Przewlocki2.63—Sep 30 · 10:35P. Brozek1.11I. Szymanski6.00—Sep 30 · 11:25P. Brozek1.61K. Adamus2.20—Sep 30 · 13:30P. Brozek1.91O. Jadach1.80—Sep 30 · 14:20P. Brozek—K. Kowalski——
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