TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Brozek vs Michal Skuril 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117113––––
Michal Skuril
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:05 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Michal Skuril below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 50 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 71.5%
50 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 1–0 Michal Skuril Michal Skuril has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Brozek beat Skuril 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:05What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1489 vs Skuril 1250
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Skuril 0%
Brozek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 80% vs Skuril 20%
Brozek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Skuril -6
Skuril
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skuril form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.22 / Skuril 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Brozek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13174377
Brozek1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it82% 40 of 49
Skuril4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 10 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozek1wins
AwaySkuril0wins
Brozek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozekSkurilB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.011.0+22.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekSkurilBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 178 vs 24 / 5955.6%40.7%99 / 178 vs 24 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.22/Skuril 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 06:55P. Brozek331111113M. Skuril112720
P. Brozek10
LSep 22 · 11:50P. Brozek1.8012611792R. Niemiec1.911011711113WSep 22 · 10:10P. Brozek2.001011116123O. Jadach1.73128911102WSep 22 · 09:00P. Brozek1.6112711113P. Przewlocki2.201011971WSep 22 · 07:45O. Jadach1.73811100P. Brozek2.001113123WSep 22 · 06:55M. Skuril2.252720P. Brozek1.571111113WSep 22 · 06:05P. Brozek1.611114113W. Urban2.2061210WSep 22 · 04:30P. Brozek1.6771111113P. Przewlocki2.10115961LSep 22 · 03:50R. Niemiec2.10117119123P. Brozek1.67611711102WSep 11 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.7167140P. Brozek2.001111163WSep 11 · 01:10M. Lebek1.7410670P. Brozek1.911211113
M. Skuril10
LSep 22 · 12:15M. Skuril2.001113681W. Urban1.7291511113LSep 22 · 10:35M. Skuril2.001110681P. Przewlocki1.7331211113LSep 22 · 09:50R. Niemiec1.67611711133M. Skuril2.10115114112LSep 22 · 08:35M. Skuril2.0041690W. Urban1.731118113LSep 22 · 06:55M. Skuril2.252720P. Brozek1.571111113LSep 22 · 05:40M. Skuril1.91861491R. Niemiec1.80111112113WSep 22 · 04:10M. Skuril2.38118114113O. Jadach1.5391191182WSep 22 · 03:00M. Skuril2.0011119113P. Przewlocki1.73661151LSep 21 · 15:45M. Skuril2.20116881P. Gumulinski1.6181111113LSep 21 · 14:40M. Skuril2.50116881P. Gumulinski1.5081111113
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