TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Adam Ruszkiewicz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:26 and never touched: 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
411711911––––
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–1 Adam Ruszkiewicz Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:2663.7%Our read79.4%to break even at 1.26
short by 15.7pp79.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.26 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (74%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1081 vs Ruszkiewicz 1340
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 259 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 20% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 20% vs Ruszkiewicz 40%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski +1 · Ruszkiewicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Ruszkiewicz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 3.60 / Ruszkiewicz 1.26
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)-15.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233563
Kowalski3.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog18% won 29 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back6% 6 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 69
Ruszkiewicz1.26
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 54 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it71% 45 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKowalski0wins
AwayRuszkiewicz1wins
Ruszkiewicz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKowalskiRuszkiewiczK − RBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.036.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 176 vs 335 / 88217.1%38%30 / 176 vs 335 / 882Avg sets wonper match1.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match32.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczKowalski 3.60/Ruszkiewicz 1.26
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 22 · 08:00K. Kowalski2567120A. Ruszkiewicz361111143
K. Kowalski10
WOct 2 · 20:30K. Kowalski2.63116711113L. Oracz1.4491111692LOct 2 · 18:55K. Kowalski4.00551251K. Juszczyk1.22111110113LOct 2 · 17:45K. Kowalski3.001031191J. Nowak1.3612113113LOct 2 · 16:15K. Kowalski3.408870O. Vincenec1.301111113LOct 2 · 15:00K. Kowalski3.254111181M. Baron1.3311137113WSep 30 · 14:20K. Kowalski5.5011115113P. Brozek1.13471141LSep 30 · 12:40K. Adamus1.221411113K. Kowalski4.0012690LSep 30 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1716136113K. Kowalski4.5014111191LSep 30 · 11:00K. Kowalski6.501061181O. Jadach1.1012116113LSep 30 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.007450I. Szymanski1.361111113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WOct 2 · 23:00J. Michalski2.558920A. Ruszkiewicz1.461111113WOct 2 · 22:25H. Tkaczyk—816771A. Ruszkiewicz—111411113LOct 2 · 20:55D. Fira2.0561111113A. Ruszkiewicz1.68116571LOct 2 · 20:20W. Jozala2.001191012113A. Ruszkiewicz1.70911121092WOct 2 · 17:30R. Wiza1.738570A. Ruszkiewicz2.001111113WSep 30 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz2.5011118113K. Juszczyk1.47871181LSep 30 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.68118811113A. Ruszkiewicz2.0881111572LSep 30 · 18:00P. Kaczynski1.57481112113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111151052LSep 30 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.951211641W. Pytlas1.7514611113LSep 30 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.09111182102S. Krupa1.67881111123
Upcoming Matches
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