TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Jakub Michalski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811211511––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:16 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Michalski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
811211511––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:1654.0%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 8.5pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Michalski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1075 vs Michalski 1178
Michalski
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 20% vs Michalski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 20% vs Michalski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski -2 · Michalski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Michalski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 2.15 / Michalski 1.60
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Michalski)-8.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233561
Kowalski2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog18% won 29 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back6% 6 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 69
Michalski1.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite43% won 26 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 177 vs 398 / 104117%38.2%30 / 177 vs 398 / 1041Avg sets wonper match1.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match32.833.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MichalskiKowalski 2.15/Michalski 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Michalski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Michalski won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Kowalski10
LOct 3 · 03:30K. Kowalski3.258770R. Wiza1.301111113LOct 3 · 00:45K. Kowalski3.1510790D. Fira1.301211113LOct 2 · 23:30K. Kowalski3.604790A. Ruszkiewicz1.261111113WOct 2 · 20:30K. Kowalski2.63116711113L. Oracz1.4491111692LOct 2 · 18:55K. Kowalski4.00551251K. Juszczyk1.22111110113LOct 2 · 17:45K. Kowalski3.001031191J. Nowak1.3612113113LOct 2 · 16:15K. Kowalski3.408870O. Vincenec1.301111113LOct 2 · 15:00K. Kowalski3.254111181M. Baron1.3311137113WSep 30 · 14:20K. Kowalski5.5011115113P. Brozek1.13471141LSep 30 · 12:40K. Adamus1.221411113K. Kowalski4.0012690
J. Michalski10
LOct 3 · 03:05D. Fira1.55101111123J. Michalski2.251288101WOct 3 · 01:30J. Michalski—11114113H. Tkaczyk—881171LOct 3 · 00:20J. Michalski2.80581141R. Wiza1.3711119113LOct 2 · 23:00J. Michalski2.558920A. Ruszkiewicz1.461111113LOct 2 · 21:50D. Fira1.4981111113J. Michalski2.46115971LOct 2 · 21:15R. Wiza1.441111113J. Michalski2.622650LOct 2 · 20:40J. Michalski5.50116111162H. Tkaczyk1.13131143113WOct 2 · 19:45J. Michalski1.76118114113W. Jozala1.9681181162LSep 27 · 04:40R. Szymik1.141111113J. Michalski4.705490WSep 27 · 03:55H. Tkaczyk1.13111189132J. Michalski5.50541111153
Upcoming Matches
K. Kowalski
J. Michalski
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