TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Sawicki vs Stanislaw Sojka 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511811––––
Stanislaw Sojka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:41 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStanislaw Sojka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Stanislaw Sojka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Stanislaw Sojka at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 4–1 Stanislaw Sojka Stanislaw Sojka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:4154.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sojka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Sawicki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1262 vs Sojka 1447
Sojka
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 20% vs Sojka 100%
Sojka
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 20% vs Sojka 80%
Sojka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -3 · Sojka +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sojka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sojka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.833 / Sojka 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sojka)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13233110
Sawicki1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Sojka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSawicki4wins
AwaySojka1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSawicki leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki100%3 of 3
AwaySojkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki3Sojka2n = 5Sawicki took 3 of 5
S2Sawicki4Sojka1n = 5Sawicki took 4 of 5
S3Sawicki2Sojka3n = 5Sojka took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSawickiSojkaSawicki − SojkaBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match34.030.8+3.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiSojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 921 vs 45 / 7039.4%64.3%363 / 921 vs 45 / 70Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SojkaSawicki 1.83/Sojka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LOct 3 · 07:45G. Sawicki196580S. Sojka331111113
WDec 21 · 03:45G. Sawicki3911125113S. Sojka357101171
WDec 21 · 00:05G. Sawicki46515411113S. Sojka53111311992
WDec 7 · 06:05G. Sawicki331111113S. Sojka219480
WDec 6 · 21:45G. Sawicki331111113S. Sojka122280
G. Sawicki10
LOct 3 · 06:30G. Sawicki2.007140L. Bernacki1.731111113LOct 3 · 05:15G. Sawicki2.259131661J. Jesiek1.57111514113LOct 3 · 04:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.366131110113G. Sawicki3.00111171272WOct 3 · 03:25G. Sawicki1.73711411143O. Sokolowski2.00117117122LOct 3 · 01:45O. Vincenec1.731311611113G. Sawicki2.0015711872LOct 3 · 01:00K. Juszczyk1.4411127113G. Sawicki2.634101191LOct 3 · 00:10G. Sawicki2.506650L. Oracz1.501111113WOct 2 · 22:35G. Sawicki1.80111167113M. Baron1.9164111172LOct 2 · 21:45J. Nowak1.914111111113G. Sawicki1.8011137872LSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik1.441111113G. Sawicki2.607470
S. Sojka10
WOct 3 · 06:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.61118921S. Sojka2.2071111113WOct 3 · 06:05S. Sojka1.531111113O. Sokolowski2.386790WOct 3 · 04:30S. Sojka1.83118511113J. Jesiek1.8391111992WOct 3 · 03:50L. Bernacki2.001081151S. Sojka1.7312115113WSep 19 · 16:20S. Sojka1.8381111113J. Slawomir1.87119631LSep 19 · 15:05S. Sojka1.857111791J. Badura1.8011619113WSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 12:45R. Wojcik1.717860S. Sojka2.001111113LSep 19 · 11:55S. Sojka1.941111671P. Slosarczyk1.6313111113WSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
Oct 3 · 18:20G. Sawicki—M. Durda——Oct 3 · 19:30G. Sawicki—J. Badura——Oct 3 · 20:20G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Oct 3 · 21:05G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Oct 3 · 22:40G. Sawicki—M. Sikon——Oct 4 · 00:20G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Oct 4 · 01:30G. Sawicki—J. Badura——Oct 4 · 02:20G. Sawicki—M. Durda——Oct 4 · 03:05G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Oct 4 · 04:40G. Sawicki—M. Sikon——
S. Sojka
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