TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Sawicki vs Lukasz Bernacki 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711111411––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:49 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Lukasz Bernacki @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Lukasz Bernacki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 45 set 3, 4-11 · our read held Lukasz Bernacki at 56.1%
45 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 4–11 Lukasz Bernacki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 05:4956.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bernacki
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Bernacki
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1281 vs Bernacki 1358
Bernacki
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 20% vs Bernacki 40%
Bernacki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Bernacki 50%
Bernacki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -2 · Bernacki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Bernacki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bernacki form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.00 / Bernacki 1.727
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Bernacki)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13232898
Sawicki2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 127 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back20% 48 of 241
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 152
Bernacki1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 71 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it86% 50 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki2wins
AwayBernacki8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBernacki leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawickin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBernacki75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki2Bernacki8n = 10Bernacki took 8 of 10
S2Sawicki2Bernacki8n = 10Bernacki took 8 of 10
S3Sawicki5Bernacki5n = 10split evenly
S4Sawicki3Bernacki4n = 7Bernacki took 4 of 7
S5Sawicki1Bernacki2n = 3Bernacki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiBernackiS − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.340.4−7.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiBernackiBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 919 vs 248 / 49439.5%50.2%363 / 919 vs 248 / 494Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BernackiSawicki 2.00/Bernacki 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.1%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Lukasz Bernacki @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
0–3
Bernacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 2 · 04:50G. Sawicki188730L. Bernacki331111113
LApr 27 · 02:00G. Sawicki4881112892L. Bernacki511181011113
LApr 26 · 16:25G. Sawicki29117651L. Bernacki4291111113
LMar 16 · 03:00G. Sawicki246990L. Bernacki331111113
WMar 15 · 17:25G. Sawicki43641111113L. Bernacki4711117992
LMar 15 · 09:45G. Sawicki32571191L. Bernacki3811115113
WNov 23 · 03:20G. Sawicki4371211133L. Bernacki3811106111
LNov 22 · 19:20G. Sawicki32761181L. Bernacki4011117113
LApr 5 · 20:45G. Sawicki4111461192L. Bernacki47811116113
LMar 30 · 17:05G. Sawicki2366110L. Bernacki351111133
G. Sawicki10
LOct 3 · 05:15G. Sawicki2.259131661J. Jesiek1.57111514113LOct 3 · 04:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.366131110113G. Sawicki3.00111171272WOct 3 · 03:25G. Sawicki1.73711411143O. Sokolowski2.00117117122LOct 3 · 01:45O. Vincenec1.731311611113G. Sawicki2.0015711872LOct 3 · 01:00K. Juszczyk1.4411127113G. Sawicki2.634101191LOct 3 · 00:10G. Sawicki2.506650L. Oracz1.501111113WOct 2 · 22:35G. Sawicki1.80111167113M. Baron1.9164111172LOct 2 · 21:45J. Nowak1.914111111113G. Sawicki1.8011137872LSep 20 · 04:20R. Szymik1.441111113G. Sawicki2.607470WSep 20 · 03:30D. Dytko1.697880G. Sawicki2.061111113
L. Bernacki10
LOct 3 · 05:40W. Wojtaszczyk1.44116115113L. Bernacki2.6381191192WOct 3 · 04:55L. Bernacki1.36111311123O. Sokolowski3.008155101LOct 3 · 03:50L. Bernacki2.001081151S. Sojka1.7312115113WOct 2 · 17:05L. Bernacki1.92116511113P. Slosarczyk1.8071111822LOct 2 · 15:30L. Bernacki2.459660G. Wichowski1.491111113WOct 2 · 14:20L. Bernacki1.8361311113K. Hetnar1.891111881WOct 2 · 12:45L. Bernacki—1111113P. Wiciok—7890LOct 2 · 11:30L. Bernacki2.3581191172J. Pelka1.50118117113LOct 2 · 10:20P. Wiciok—111111113L. Bernacki—138891WOct 2 · 09:30G. Wichowski2.03121110101L. Bernacki1.7114612123
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
Oct 3 · 07:45G. Sawicki1.83S. Sojka1.83—Oct 3 · 18:20G. Sawicki—M. Durda——Oct 3 · 19:30G. Sawicki—J. Badura——Oct 3 · 20:20G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Oct 3 · 21:05G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Oct 3 · 22:40G. Sawicki—M. Sikon——Oct 4 · 00:20G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Oct 4 · 01:30G. Sawicki—J. Badura——Oct 4 · 02:20G. Sawicki—M. Durda——Oct 4 · 03:05G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——
L. Bernacki
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