Lukasz Bernacki vs Stanislaw Sojka 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 3Finished

Lukasz Bernacki

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1012811115511––

Stanislaw Sojka

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:46 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Stanislaw Sojka to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingLukasz Bernacki above · Stanislaw Sojka below

Set 1 · 10-12

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 73 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Stanislaw Sojka at 54.0%

73 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:46

54.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 3.9pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Sojka

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Bernacki 1368 vs Sojka 1394

Sojka

Correct

both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Bernacki 60% vs Sojka 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Bernacki 50% vs Sojka 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Bernacki +1 · Sojka +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sojka) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBernacki 2.00 / Sojka 1.727

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Sojka)-3.9pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13232779

Bernacki2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog42% won 37 of 88

Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 48

Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34

Sojka1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 19) · back after a break

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBernackiSojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 491 vs 40 / 6550.3%61.5%247 / 491 vs 40 / 65Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sojka

Bernacki 2.00/Sojka 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Sojka · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Sojka won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

L. Bernacki10