TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Stanislaw Sojka vs Oskar Sokolowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Stanislaw Sojka
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117119––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:02 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeStanislaw Sojka to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingStanislaw Sojka above · Oskar Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 55 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Stanislaw Sojka at 60.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Stanislaw Sojka 2–1 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:0260.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sojka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sojka 1438 vs Sokolowski 1214
Sojka
Correct
both rated, 225 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sojka 80% vs Sokolowski 20%
Sojka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sojka 70% vs Sokolowski 20%
Sojka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sojka +3 · Sokolowski -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Sojka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSojka 1.533 / Sokolowski 2.375
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sojka)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13232912
Sojka1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sokolowski2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 80 of 263
Down 0–1, comes back16% 26 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSojka2wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSojka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sojka2Sokolowski1n = 3Sojka took 2 of 3
S2Sojka2Sokolowski1n = 3Sojka took 2 of 3
S3Sojka2Sokolowski1n = 3Sojka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSojkaSokolowskiSojka − SokolowskiBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.039.7+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSojkaSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 69 vs 136 / 40963.8%33.3%44 / 69 vs 136 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SojkaSojka 1.53/Sokolowski 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Sojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 3 · 06:05S. Sojka331111113O. Sokolowski226790
WSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka44121011113O. Sokolowski371012781
LSep 19 · 05:30S. Sojka551316511102O. Sokolowski601514118123
S. Sojka10
WOct 3 · 06:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.61118921S. Sojka2.2071111113WOct 3 · 04:30S. Sojka1.83118511113J. Jesiek1.8391111992WOct 3 · 03:50L. Bernacki2.001081151S. Sojka1.7312115113WSep 19 · 16:20S. Sojka1.8381111113J. Slawomir1.87119631LSep 19 · 15:05S. Sojka1.857111791J. Badura1.8011619113WSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 12:45R. Wojcik1.717860S. Sojka2.001111113LSep 19 · 11:55S. Sojka1.941111671P. Slosarczyk1.6313111113WSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161LSep 19 · 09:30S. Sojka1.8051161182R. Wojcik1.91115119113
O. Sokolowski10
LOct 3 · 04:55L. Bernacki1.36111311123O. Sokolowski3.008155101LOct 3 · 03:25G. Sawicki1.73711411143O. Sokolowski2.00117117122LSep 30 · 02:45P. Adamus1.31111411113O. Sokolowski3.25716571LSep 30 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.60411612112M. Tkocz1.421181110133WSep 30 · 00:25P. Kurek1.5093100O. Sokolowski2.351111123LSep 29 · 23:10M. Lebek1.351215143O. Sokolowski2.901013120LSep 29 · 21:35M. Adamus1.6671111113O. Sokolowski2.11115741LSep 29 · 20:45P. Kurek1.3311117113O. Sokolowski3.10661191WSep 29 · 19:35O. Sokolowski1.4513111110113M. Tkocz2.5815661292LSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781
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