TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk vs Stanislaw Sojka 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811911211––
Stanislaw Sojka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingWojciech Wojtaszczyk above · Stanislaw Sojka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 70 set 4, 2-11 · our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 57.7%
70 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 0–1 Stanislaw Sojka Wojciech Wojtaszczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5357.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wojtaszczyk 1492 vs Sojka 1447
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wojtaszczyk 80% vs Sojka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wojtaszczyk 90% vs Sojka 70%
Wojtaszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wojtaszczyk +4 · Sojka +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Wojtaszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sojka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWojtaszczyk 1.615 / Sojka 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233007
Wojtaszczyk1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 370 of 537
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it85% 290 of 343
Sojka2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWojtaszczyk0wins
AwaySojka1wins
Sojka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricWojtaszczykSojkaW − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match30.040.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWojtaszczykSojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 856 vs 45 / 7067.2%64.3%575 / 856 vs 45 / 70Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykWojtaszczyk 1.61/Sojka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 3 · 06:55W. Wojtaszczyk30118921S. Sojka4071111113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WOct 3 · 05:40W. Wojtaszczyk1.44116115113L. Bernacki2.6381191192WOct 3 · 04:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.366131110113G. Sawicki3.00111171272WOct 3 · 03:00W. Wojtaszczyk1.6111114143J. Jesiek2.207611121WSep 27 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.0087110W. Wojtaszczyk1.731111133LSep 27 · 13:30S. Szostok1.911141111123W. Wojtaszczyk1.80611513102WSep 27 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.446770W. Wojtaszczyk2.631111113WSep 27 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.381081181W. Wojtaszczyk1.5312119113WSep 27 · 09:00P. Polok1.808890W. Wojtaszczyk1.911111113WSep 27 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak2.209117111W. Wojtaszczyk1.6111511133WSep 27 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00791191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311118113
S. Sojka10
WOct 3 · 07:45G. Sawicki1.836580S. Sojka1.831111113WOct 3 · 06:05S. Sojka1.531111113O. Sokolowski2.386790WOct 3 · 04:30S. Sojka1.83118511113J. Jesiek1.8391111992WOct 3 · 03:50L. Bernacki2.001081151S. Sojka1.7312115113WSep 19 · 16:20S. Sojka1.8381111113J. Slawomir1.87119631LSep 19 · 15:05S. Sojka1.857111791J. Badura1.8011619113WSep 19 · 13:55S. Sojka1.91121011113O. Sokolowski1.801012781WSep 19 · 12:45R. Wojcik1.717860S. Sojka2.001111113LSep 19 · 11:55S. Sojka1.941111671P. Slosarczyk1.6313111113WSep 19 · 11:05S. Sojka1.9411118113P. Slosarczyk1.63771161
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