TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk vs Jakub Jesiek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171164111412––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:54 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingWojciech Wojtaszczyk above · Jakub Jesiek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 76 set 4, 14-12 · our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 60.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 9–10 Jakub Jesiek Wojciech Wojtaszczyk has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:5460.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wojtaszczyk 1486 vs Jesiek 1371
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wojtaszczyk 80% vs Jesiek 40%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wojtaszczyk 70% vs Jesiek 50%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wojtaszczyk +1 · Jesiek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Wojtaszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWojtaszczyk 1.615 / Jesiek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13232665
Wojtaszczyk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 369 of 538
Up 2–0, closes it97% 200 of 207
Up 1–0, closes it84% 289 of 343
Jesiek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 26) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back27% 25 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWojtaszczyk5wins
AwayJesiek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWojtaszczyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayJesiek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wojtaszczyk6Jesiek4n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 6 of 10
S2Wojtaszczyk4Jesiek6n = 10Jesiek took 6 of 10
S3Wojtaszczyk8Jesiek2n = 10Wojtaszczyk took 8 of 10
S4Wojtaszczyk4Jesiek2n = 6Wojtaszczyk took 4 of 6
S5Wojtaszczyk0Jesiek3n = 3Jesiek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWojtaszczykJesiekW − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.535.6+2.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWojtaszczykJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime572 / 852 vs 284 / 54367.1%52.3%572 / 852 vs 284 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykWojtaszczyk 1.61/Jesiek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 11:25W. Wojtaszczyk4112511133J. Jesiek4010118111
LSep 20 · 05:15W. Wojtaszczyk259880J. Jesiek331111113
LAug 11 · 12:15W. Wojtaszczyk4566131192J. Jesiek511111117113
LAug 11 · 08:35W. Wojtaszczyk52129111282J. Jesiek551011914113
WJul 25 · 00:10W. Wojtaszczyk45111013113J. Jesiek293121131
WJul 24 · 20:30W. Wojtaszczyk331111113J. Jesiek226790
WJul 18 · 00:35W. Wojtaszczyk331111113J. Jesiek197750
LJul 17 · 18:30W. Wojtaszczyk4391161162J. Jesiek46114119113
WJun 7 · 14:45W. Wojtaszczyk331111113J. Jesiek186390
LJun 7 · 11:05W. Wojtaszczyk357511121J. Jesiek4311117143
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 27 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.0087110W. Wojtaszczyk1.731111133LSep 27 · 13:30S. Szostok1.911141111123W. Wojtaszczyk1.80611513102WSep 27 · 11:25A. Cichocki1.446770W. Wojtaszczyk2.631111113WSep 27 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.381081181W. Wojtaszczyk1.5312119113WSep 27 · 09:00P. Polok1.808890W. Wojtaszczyk1.911111113WSep 27 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak2.209117111W. Wojtaszczyk1.6111511133WSep 27 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00791191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311118113LSep 27 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.4412115113W. Wojtaszczyk2.631061191WSep 27 · 04:30P. Polok1.80117151182W. Wojtaszczyk1.91811178113LSep 27 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.501111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.508670
J. Jesiek10
LSep 26 · 14:40M. Lach1.501111113J. Jesiek2.507180LSep 26 · 13:30J. Jesiek2.7561070A. Cichocki1.401112113WSep 26 · 12:15P. Polok1.405990J. Jesiek2.751111113LSep 26 · 11:00R. Idaczyk1.83411116113J. Jesiek1.8311831172WSep 26 · 09:25R. Piechnik1.83108100J. Jesiek1.831211123LSep 26 · 08:35P. Polok1.36411611123J. Jesiek3.00117116102WSep 26 · 07:20J. Jesiek1.83119511113R. Piechnik1.8341111772WSep 26 · 06:05R. Szymik1.8081111672J. Jesiek1.91117911113LSep 26 · 04:55M. Lach1.44114116113J. Jesiek2.6361141172WSep 26 · 03:25A. Cichocki1.301511111182J. Jesiek3.40177139113
Upcoming Matches
W. Wojtaszczyk
Oct 3 · 04:10W. Wojtaszczyk1.36G. Sawicki3.00—Oct 3 · 05:40W. Wojtaszczyk1.44L. Bernacki2.63—Oct 3 · 06:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.61S. Sojka2.20—Oct 3 · 08:35W. Wojtaszczyk1.25O. Sokolowski3.75—Oct 3 · 09:50W. Wojtaszczyk1.67P. Polok2.10—Oct 3 · 10:35W. Wojtaszczyk1.61J. Jesiek2.20—Oct 3 · 12:15W. Wojtaszczyk1.25O. Sokolowski3.75—Oct 3 · 13:05W. Wojtaszczyk—S. Sojka——Oct 3 · 13:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.44L. Bernacki2.63—
J. Jesiek
Oct 3 · 04:30J. Jesiek1.83S. Sojka1.83—Oct 3 · 05:15J. Jesiek1.57G. Sawicki2.25—Oct 3 · 07:20J. Jesiek1.57O. Sokolowski2.25—Oct 3 · 08:10J. Jesiek2.00L. Bernacki1.73—Oct 3 · 09:00J. Jesiek—S. Sojka——Oct 3 · 10:35J. Jesiek2.20W. Wojtaszczyk1.61—Oct 3 · 11:25J. Jesiek2.00L. Bernacki1.73—Oct 3 · 13:30J. Jesiek1.61O. Sokolowski2.20—Oct 3 · 14:20J. Jesiek2.25P. Polok1.57—
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