TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Polok vs Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPawel Polok above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Pawel Polok at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Polok 3–5 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Pawel Polok has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1421 vs Wojtaszczyk 1471
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok -1 · Wojtaszczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.80 / Wojtaszczyk 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polok)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13200136
Polok1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 113 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it82% 93 of 113
Wojtaszczyk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 46 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePolok3wins
AwayWojtaszczyk5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolok50%2 of 4
AwayWojtaszczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok4Wojtaszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Polok4Wojtaszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S3Polok4Wojtaszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S4Polok3Wojtaszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPolokWojtaszczykP − WBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match39.138.2+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 251 vs 569 / 84863.4%67.1%159 / 251 vs 569 / 848Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.80/Wojtaszczyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 27 · 09:00P. Polok258890W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LSep 27 · 04:30P. Polok52117151182W. Wojtaszczyk55811178113
WSep 20 · 14:20P. Polok331111113W. Wojtaszczyk209650
LSep 20 · 08:10P. Polok33911761W. Wojtaszczyk4211911113
LSep 19 · 09:00P. Polok381291071W. Wojtaszczyk44101112113
LSep 19 · 04:30P. Polok48111111962W. Wojtaszczyk46138311113
WAug 12 · 03:50P. Polok4211514123W. Wojtaszczyk3961112101
WAug 11 · 07:20P. Polok4291111113W. Wojtaszczyk27113581
P. Polok10
LSep 27 · 07:45A. Cichocki1.441111113P. Polok2.638490WSep 27 · 06:55Z. Sobkow2.2586111162P. Polok1.57111166113LSep 27 · 06:05P. Polok1.91119781S. Szostok1.8051111113LSep 27 · 04:30P. Polok1.80117151182W. Wojtaszczyk1.91811178113WSep 27 · 03:50J. Wieczerzak1.8312180P. Polok1.831411113WSep 26 · 13:55R. Piechnik3.254980P. Polok1.331111113WSep 26 · 13:05M. Lach1.91711671P. Polok1.8011611113LSep 26 · 12:15P. Polok1.405990J. Jesiek2.751111113LSep 26 · 10:35P. Polok2.50101191182A. Cichocki1.50127116113LSep 26 · 09:50R. Idaczyk2.5011119113P. Polok1.50871151
W. Wojtaszczyk10
WSep 27 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak2.209117111W. Wojtaszczyk1.6111511133WSep 27 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00791191W. Wojtaszczyk1.7311118113LSep 27 · 05:15A. Cichocki1.4412115113W. Wojtaszczyk2.631061191WSep 27 · 04:30P. Polok1.80117151182W. Wojtaszczyk1.91811178113LSep 27 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.501111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.508670LSep 20 · 14:20P. Polok1.731111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.009650LSep 20 · 13:30W. Buczynski3.251111133W. Wojtaszczyk1.3389110WSep 20 · 11:25J. Jesiek2.5010118111W. Wojtaszczyk1.5012511133WSep 20 · 10:35A. Szurgot8.5085130W. Wojtaszczyk1.051111153LSep 20 · 09:00M. Skuril3.001814113W. Wojtaszczyk1.33161230
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