Alex Moreno vs Linus Dreykorn 3-0 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TT

Played Oct 8Finished

Alex Moreno

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1171161412––––

Linus Dreykorn

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 12

Form at publish

0–10Last 10Lost last 12

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Alex Moreno to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingAlex Moreno above · Linus Dreykorn below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 14-12

Point 61 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Alex Moreno at 54.0%

61 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:29

54.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833

short by 0.6pp

54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Dreykorn

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Moreno 1170 vs Dreykorn 1047

Moreno

Correct

both rated, 123 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Moreno 40% vs Dreykorn 0%

Moreno

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Moreno 20% vs Dreykorn 0%

Moreno

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Moreno -2 · Dreykorn -12

Dreykorn

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Moreno) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dreykorn form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMoreno 1.833 / Dreykorn 1.833

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Moreno)-0.6pp

Challenger Series TT · #13231862

Moreno1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Dreykorn1.83

0%won 0 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 12

oldest → newest

0%takes the first set · 0 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMorenoDreykornBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 140 vs 2 / 3014.3%6.7%20 / 140 vs 2 / 30Avg sets wonper match0.90.7per matchAvg pointsper match28.325.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Moreno

Moreno 1.83/Dreykorn 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Moreno · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Moreno won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

A. Moreno10