TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Stolfa vs Jan Trefny 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611111––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Stolfa above · Jan Trefny below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 46 set 3, 1-11
46 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Stolfa 2–2 Jan Trefny Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Stolfa beat Trefny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trefny form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStolfa 1.44 / Trefny 2.63
Czech Liga Pro · #13213652
Stolfa1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 88 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it100% 37 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Trefny2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 30 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeStolfa2wins
AwayTrefny2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStolfa66.7%2 of 3
AwayTrefnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stolfa3Trefny1n = 4Stolfa took 3 of 4
S2Stolfa3Trefny1n = 4Stolfa took 3 of 4
S3Stolfa2Trefny2n = 4split evenly
S4Stolfa0Trefny3n = 3Trefny took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricStolfaTrefnyS − TBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.837.2+5.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStolfaTrefnyBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 407 vs 69 / 13752.6%50.4%214 / 407 vs 69 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StolfaStolfa 1.44/Trefny 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Trefny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 28 · 19:30J. Stolfa49111197113J. Trefny4278111152
WSep 28 · 12:00J. Stolfa351112123J. Trefny23310100
LAug 18 · 09:30J. Stolfa399119101J. Trefny3811411123
LAug 18 · 06:00J. Stolfa48117111092J. Trefny46311912113
J. Stolfa10
LSep 28 · 20:00J. Stolfa1.739970T. Janata2.001111113WSep 28 · 19:30J. Trefny2.6378111152J. Stolfa1.44111197113WSep 28 · 18:00J. Stolfa1.611111113R. Pavelka2.209770WSep 28 · 13:30J. Stolfa1.4371111113M. Kolar2.60115681WSep 28 · 12:00J. Stolfa1.911112123J. Trefny1.80310100WSep 28 · 11:30M. Kolar2.758111291J. Stolfa1.4011914103WSep 28 · 10:00J. Stolfa1.4091111123L. Stacho2.751135101LSep 27 · 21:30J. Stolfa1.859111112112R. Pavelka1.85117614133WSep 27 · 20:00M. Vedmoch1.739450J. Stolfa2.001111113LSep 27 · 19:00R. Pavelka2.00117511113J. Stolfa1.7361111992
J. Trefny10
LSep 28 · 20:30R. Pavelka1.91101111113J. Trefny1.80127981LSep 28 · 19:30J. Trefny2.6378111152J. Stolfa1.44111197113LSep 28 · 18:30T. Janata1.4011811113J. Trefny2.75211661WSep 28 · 13:00J. Trefny1.5311111123L. Stacho2.387116101LSep 28 · 12:00J. Stolfa1.911112123J. Trefny1.80310100WSep 28 · 11:00L. Stacho2.20481181J. Trefny1.6111118113LSep 28 · 10:30J. Trefny1.617960M. Kolar2.201111113WSep 24 · 03:00J. Trefny1.731111153P. Klusacek2.0076130LSep 24 · 02:30J. Trefny1.67101060J. Prokupek2.101212113WSep 24 · 01:30J. Dedek2.5051191172J. Trefny1.50119117113
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