Jan Trefny vs Milan Kolar 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Sep 28Finished

Jan Trefny

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711911611––––

Milan Kolar

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:25 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Jan Trefny to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJan Trefny above · Milan Kolar below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Point 55 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jan Trefny at 60.5%

55 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:25

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Trefny

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Trefny 1574 vs Kolar 1455

Trefny

Wrong

both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Trefny 60% vs Kolar 20%

Trefny

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Trefny 50% vs Kolar 30%

Trefny

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Trefny +1 · Kolar +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Trefny) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kolar form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTrefny 1.61 / Kolar 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Trefny)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13206607

Trefny1.61

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 24)

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite52% won 31 of 60

Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12

Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27

Kolar2.20

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 27)

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog42% won 75 of 180

Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 85

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricTrefnyKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 130 vs 399 / 80051.5%49.9%67 / 130 vs 399 / 800Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Trefny

Trefny 1.61/Kolar 2.20

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.5%

Trefny · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kolar won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

J. Trefny10