TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sorochan vs Yurii Zvolynskyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:23 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeYurii Zvolynskyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Yurii Zvolynskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Zvolynskyi at 56.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 21–30 Yurii Zvolynskyi Ihor Sorochan has won 21 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zvolynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-30 in 51
Zvolynskyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1314 vs Zvolynskyi 1328
Zvolynskyi
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 40% vs Zvolynskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 60% vs Zvolynskyi 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -3 · Zvolynskyi -1
Sorochan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Zvolynskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 2.10 / Zvolynskyi 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Zvolynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13210482
Sorochan2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 24)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 28 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Zvolynskyi1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite74% won 92 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it90% 74 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSorochan4wins
AwayZvolynskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZvolynskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSorochan66.7%2 of 3
AwayZvolynskyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sorochan3Zvolynskyi7n = 10Zvolynskyi took 7 of 10
S2Sorochan4Zvolynskyi6n = 10Zvolynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Sorochan6Zvolynskyi4n = 10Sorochan took 6 of 10
S4Sorochan2Zvolynskyi6n = 8Zvolynskyi took 6 of 8
S5Sorochan2Zvolynskyi1n = 3Sorochan took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSorochanZvolynskyiS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.840.0−7.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanZvolynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 423 vs 302 / 57055.1%53%233 / 423 vs 302 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZvolynskyiSorochan 2.10/Zvolynskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Zvolynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zvolynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 09:30I. Sorochan40113114113Y. Zvolynskyi4791181182
LSep 9 · 08:30I. Sorochan217950Y. Zvolynskyi331111113
WAug 30 · 13:00I. Sorochan3521111113Y. Zvolynskyi32118491
LAug 24 · 15:30I. Sorochan4312716442Y. Zvolynskyi5710111411113
WAug 11 · 06:00I. Sorochan4171211113Y. Zvolynskyi391110991
LAug 10 · 12:30I. Sorochan27511651Y. Zvolynskyi3711411113
LJul 12 · 05:30I. Sorochan26251181Y. Zvolynskyi4211119113
LJul 5 · 14:30I. Sorochan27351181Y. Zvolynskyi4011117113
WJun 12 · 08:30I. Sorochan42111163113Y. Zvolynskyi3936111182
LJun 11 · 08:30I. Sorochan2610970Y. Zvolynskyi341211113
I. Sorochan10
LSep 28 · 13:30S. Sideltsev1.33913911113I. Sorochan3.25111111732LSep 24 · 10:08S. Sideltsev1.441311113I. Sorochan2.6311470LSep 24 · 09:30I. Sorochan2.75128781M. Pohorilyi1.40101111113LSep 24 · 08:30I. Sorochan2.63811931S. Honcharenko1.4411511113WSep 24 · 07:00I. Sorochan3.4071111133S. Sideltsev1.301197111WSep 24 · 06:00I. Sorochan1.73131113113M. Zavoloka2.0011131161LSep 21 · 10:35A. Lysyi3.5011117113I. Sorochan1.28571141WSep 21 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.6191181182I. Sorochan2.20113114113WSep 21 · 08:00I. Sorochan1.731111113E. Bakin2.007720WSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan1.221111113O. Shvydkyi4.004680
Y. Zvolynskyi10
LSep 28 · 14:00I. Dubinin1.401111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.757670LSep 27 · 17:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.258911111R. Sveshnykov1.5711118133WSep 27 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.441111113S. Honcharenko2.637850WSep 27 · 15:00A. Danylov4.331061181Y. Zvolynskyi1.2012117113LSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172LSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 21 · 10:03E. Bakin2.2521381122Y. Zvolynskyi1.571111115113LSep 21 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.6191181182I. Sorochan2.20113114113WSep 21 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.17313611113O. Shvydkyi4.50111111492WSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882
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