TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Milan Flesar vs Stanislav Kafka 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012711811––––
Stanislav Kafka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMilan Flesar above · Stanislav Kafka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Milan Flesar 1–1 Stanislav Kafka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Flesar beat Kafka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flesar form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlesar 1.73 / Kafka 2.00
TT Cup · #13208500
Flesar1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 75 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it79% 64 of 81
Kafka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFlesar1wins
AwayKafka1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricFlesarKafkaF − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match30.528.0+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlesarKafkaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 440 vs 64 / 10452.1%61.5%229 / 440 vs 64 / 104Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FlesarFlesar 1.73/Kafka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Kafka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 27 · 18:05M. Flesar341111123S. Kafka1954100
LSep 10 · 20:05M. Flesar2795130S. Kafka371111153
M. Flesar10
LSep 27 · 20:35D. Hons1.361111113M. Flesar3.009970LSep 27 · 19:35M. Flesar2.639950P. Zivny1.441111113WSep 27 · 18:05S. Kafka1.4454100M. Flesar2.631111123WSep 27 · 09:10M. Flesar2.20111111113R. Vavricka1.61691361LSep 27 · 08:05J. Lovl1.501111113M. Flesar2.509890WSep 27 · 07:35R. Vavricka1.441011981M. Flesar2.6312811113LSep 27 · 06:35M. Flesar1.6772111162K. Lahodny2.10111166113WSep 25 · 09:35M. Flesar3.251116123R. Neterda1.33514100WSep 25 · 08:35M. Flesar1.911111113M. Rojka1.809630WSep 25 · 07:05P. Chvatal1.576370M. Flesar2.251111113
S. Kafka10
LSep 27 · 20:05S. Kafka1.918810P. Zivny1.801111113LSep 27 · 19:05S. Kafka1.806670D. Hons1.911111113LSep 27 · 18:05S. Kafka1.4454100M. Flesar2.631111123WSep 11 · 21:03S. Kafka1.831111113R. Vosyka1.839890WSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 19:05S. Kafka1.6111117482J. Martin2.20861111113LSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113WSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130WSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782
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