TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Volny vs Lukas Dzida 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711711119911
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Lukas Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11
93 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 1–3 Lukas Dzida Jakub Volny has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Volny beat Dzida 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 2.25 / Dzida 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Dzida)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13207478
Volny2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Dzida1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 46 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVolny1wins
AwayDzida3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderDzida leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolnyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny0Dzida4n = 4Dzida took 4 of 4
S2Volny2Dzida2n = 4split evenly
S3Volny0Dzida4n = 4Dzida took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricVolnyDzidaV − DBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match32.839.5−6.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 366 vs 121 / 22048.1%55%176 / 366 vs 121 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaVolny 2.25/Dzida 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 27 · 14:15J. Volny529111011113L. Dzida4711912782
LSep 12 · 10:45J. Volny205870L. Dzida331111113
LJul 28 · 15:15J. Volny229580L. Dzida331111113
LJul 18 · 13:45J. Volny3751210101L. Dzida45111012123
J. Volny10
WSep 27 · 16:15J. Volny2.201113113A. Cizek1.6181140WSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143WSep 27 · 14:15L. Dzida1.4011912782J. Volny2.759111011113LSep 26 · 12:46T. Lysek1.3313811133J. Volny3.2511119111LSep 26 · 12:15T. Lysek1.7311712113J. Volny2.009111091LSep 26 · 11:15J. Volny2.255580P. Vinansky1.571111113LSep 26 · 09:45A. Cizek1.7391112153J. Volny2.0011310131LSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin1.3011811113J. Volny3.40711581WSep 20 · 12:10J. Volny1.6711121112123T. Lysek2.10614914102WSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113
L. Dzida10
WSep 27 · 15:45T. Molin3.406570L. Dzida1.301111113WSep 27 · 15:15A. Cizek2.00911271L. Dzida1.7311711113LSep 27 · 14:15L. Dzida1.4011912782J. Volny2.759111011113WSep 27 · 13:17D. Jr1.73117991L. Dzida2.0091111113LSep 27 · 11:45D. Jr1.83141189113L. Dzida1.83126111182WSep 27 · 11:15D. Pawlik2.009511101L. Dzida1.7311117123WSep 27 · 10:15L. Dzida1.7381111113E. Precek2.00117751WSep 24 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.67951251L. Dzida2.10111110113LSep 24 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.8011512113L. Dzida1.914111021WSep 24 · 11:10L. Dzida1.831111123D. Pawlik1.8348100
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