TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Volny vs Ales Cizek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181311114––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeAles Cizek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 58 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ales Cizek at 55.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 6–8 Ales Cizek Jakub Volny has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Cizek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1490 vs Cizek 1536
Cizek
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 40% vs Cizek 60%
Cizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 40% vs Cizek 70%
Cizek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +2 · Cizek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cizek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 2.20 / Cizek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Cizek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13205786
Volny2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 38 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back21% 11 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Cizek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 49 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny5wins
AwayCizek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny66.7%4 of 6
AwayCizek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny6Cizek4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S2Volny5Cizek5n = 10split evenly
S3Volny3Cizek7n = 10Cizek took 7 of 10
S4Volny3Cizek7n = 10Cizek took 7 of 10
S5Volny3Cizek0n = 3Volny took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyCizekV − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.641.4−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 365 vs 238 / 49948%47.7%175 / 365 vs 238 / 499Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekVolny 2.20/Cizek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 09:45J. Volny3711310131A. Cizek4791112153
LJun 5 · 20:45J. Volny35137781A. Cizek44111111113
WJun 5 · 20:15J. Volny39111214113A. Cizek39310111142
LJun 3 · 20:15J. Volny351111671A. Cizek4013511113
LMay 10 · 09:40J. Volny28611381A. Cizek3811511113
WMay 8 · 17:15J. Volny47116811113A. Cizek4481111772
WMay 8 · 14:45J. Volny4011126113A. Cizek378101181
WApr 23 · 16:55J. Volny3711411113A. Cizek31811931
WApr 23 · 14:45J. Volny5710131310113A. Cizek531211111272
LApr 11 · 18:15J. Volny31671171A. Cizek4111118113
J. Volny10
WSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143WSep 27 · 14:15L. Dzida1.4011912782J. Volny2.759111011113LSep 26 · 12:46T. Lysek1.3313811133J. Volny3.2511119111LSep 26 · 12:15T. Lysek1.7311712113J. Volny2.009111091LSep 26 · 11:15J. Volny2.255580P. Vinansky1.571111113LSep 26 · 09:45A. Cizek1.7391112153J. Volny2.0011310131LSep 20 · 13:20T. Molin1.3011811113J. Volny3.40711581WSep 20 · 12:10J. Volny1.6711121112123T. Lysek2.10614914102WSep 20 · 10:40V. Konvicka1.807780J. Volny1.911111113LSep 20 · 10:10T. Molin1.731111113J. Volny2.008760
A. Cizek10
LSep 27 · 16:39A. Cizek2.1067111122T. Molin1.67111169113LSep 27 · 15:15A. Cizek2.00911271L. Dzida1.7311711113WSep 27 · 13:45T. Molin2.007118121A. Cizek1.7311911143LSep 26 · 13:15A. Cizek1.931111211102P. Vinansky1.77132118123WSep 26 · 11:45A. Cizek2.75511811113P. Vinansky1.4011611642WSep 26 · 10:45A. Cizek1.67141011113T. Lysek2.101212661WSep 26 · 09:45A. Cizek1.7391112153J. Volny2.0011310131WSep 25 · 21:10A. Kanak1.53811391A. Cizek2.3811911113WSep 25 · 20:10A. Cizek1.911311113D. Vitasek1.8011660LSep 25 · 18:40A. Kanak1.571217123A. Cizek2.251015100
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