TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kotyk vs Valerii Vlasenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171210911118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Kotyk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kotyk above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Kotyk at 66.9%
79 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kotyk 3–4 Valerii Vlasenko Andrii Kotyk has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kotyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kotyk 1674 vs Vlasenko 1514
Kotyk
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kotyk 60% vs Vlasenko 40%
Kotyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kotyk 70% vs Vlasenko 50%
Kotyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kotyk +3 · Vlasenko +1
Kotyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kotyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKotyk 1.44 / Vlasenko 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kotyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202035
Kotyk1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 64 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Vlasenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 125 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back23% 35 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKotyk3wins
AwayVlasenko4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderVlasenko leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKotyk50%2 of 4
AwayVlasenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kotyk4Vlasenko3n = 7Kotyk took 4 of 7
S2Kotyk3Vlasenko4n = 7Vlasenko took 4 of 7
S3Kotyk1Vlasenko6n = 7Vlasenko took 6 of 7
S4Kotyk3Vlasenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Kotyk2Vlasenko1n = 3Kotyk took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKotykVlasenkoK − VBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.142.1−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKotykVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime166 / 340 vs 407 / 92948.8%43.8%166 / 340 vs 407 / 929Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KotykKotyk 1.44/Vlasenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Kotyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kotyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk3711114113V. Vlasenko32761181
LAug 28 · 20:00A. Kotyk491110101172V. Vlasenko50812127113
WAug 2 · 07:05A. Kotyk561081112153V. Vlasenko501211410132
LJul 18 · 16:35A. Kotyk35811971V. Vlasenko3911611113
LJul 18 · 01:00A. Kotyk187740V. Vlasenko331111113
WJul 3 · 21:00A. Kotyk501411113113V. Vlasenko47123131182
LJun 19 · 21:30A. Kotyk36135991V. Vlasenko44111111113
A. Kotyk10
WSep 27 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.331111113A. Shypilov3.257680WSep 27 · 06:05A. Kotyk1.3313511113M. Smyrnov3.251111691WSep 27 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.61118611113O. Hura2.2041111992LSep 20 · 10:35N. Kovalchuk1.831211113A. Kotyk1.8310870LSep 20 · 09:35A. Kotyk1.3321111472A. Shypilov3.25119711113WSep 20 · 08:35A. Kotyk1.801111113R. Lazebnyi1.918780LSep 20 · 07:05A. Kotyk1.3381020O. Mitla3.251112113WSep 20 · 05:05A. Kotyk1.531211113O. Napirko2.3810560WAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181WAug 30 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.801111113O. Hura1.919750
V. Vlasenko10
WSep 27 · 08:05V. Vlasenko2.20511711113M. Smyrnov1.6111411742LSep 27 · 07:05V. Boyko1.6711119133V. Vlasenko2.107811111LSep 27 · 05:35V. Vlasenko1.80117881A. Shypilov1.9161111113WSep 26 · 02:00O. Napirko1.8061116672V. Vlasenko1.911151411113LSep 26 · 01:00V. Vlasenko2.1013881192V. Boyko1.671111118113LSep 26 · 00:00V. Vlasenko2.387770R. Lazebnyi1.531111113LSep 25 · 22:30V. Vlasenko1.7341191162O. Mitla2.00117116113WSep 25 · 20:30V. Vlasenko2.20715115173M. Smyrnov1.611113911152WSep 25 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201261191V. Vlasenko1.6114119113LAug 30 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.5011114113V. Vlasenko2.50761181
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