TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Vlasenko vs Ruslan Lazebnyi 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:24 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeRuslan Lazebnyi to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Vlasenko above · Ruslan Lazebnyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Ruslan Lazebnyi at 64.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Vlasenko 2–8 Ruslan Lazebnyi Valerii Vlasenko has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Lazebnyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Lazebnyi
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vlasenko 1537 vs Lazebnyi 1553
Lazebnyi
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vlasenko 60% vs Lazebnyi 20%
Vlasenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vlasenko 50% vs Lazebnyi 20%
Vlasenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vlasenko -1 · Lazebnyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lazebnyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lazebnyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVlasenko 2.38 / Lazebnyi 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Lazebnyi)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13190733
Vlasenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 124 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back22% 34 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 82
Lazebnyi1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it70% 33 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVlasenko2wins
AwayLazebnyi8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLazebnyi leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVlasenko40%2 of 5
AwayLazebnyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vlasenko5Lazebnyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Vlasenko5Lazebnyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Vlasenko2Lazebnyi8n = 10Lazebnyi took 8 of 10
S4Vlasenko3Lazebnyi6n = 9Lazebnyi took 6 of 9
S5Vlasenko1Lazebnyi3n = 4Lazebnyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVlasenkoLazebnyiV − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.546.1−7.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVlasenkoLazebnyiBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 923 vs 72 / 15043.9%48%405 / 923 vs 72 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LazebnyiVlasenko 2.38/Lazebnyi 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Lazebnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lazebnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 18:35V. Vlasenko31611681R. Lazebnyi4111811113
LSep 17 · 21:15V. Vlasenko378111171R. Lazebnyi4311813113
WSep 15 · 23:45V. Vlasenko48123119133R. Lazebnyi481011511112
LAug 31 · 22:45V. Vlasenko28641171R. Lazebnyi3811115113
LAug 26 · 00:15V. Vlasenko38112311112R. Lazebnyi53911119133
LAug 24 · 20:45V. Vlasenko4591571132R. Lazebnyi551113119113
LAug 18 · 00:15V. Vlasenko371169111R. Lazebnyi4381111133
LAug 7 · 01:15V. Vlasenko28131140R. Lazebnyi391513113
WAug 6 · 00:15V. Vlasenko4312146113R. Lazebnyi4210121191
LAug 2 · 11:05V. Vlasenko50121431382R. Lazebnyi5910121115113
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 25 · 22:30V. Vlasenko1.7341191162O. Mitla2.00117116113WSep 25 · 20:30V. Vlasenko2.20715115173M. Smyrnov1.611113911152WSep 25 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201261191V. Vlasenko1.6114119113WSep 25 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.5011115123S. Berezynskyi1.503711101LSep 25 · 00:15V. Vlasenko2.258813151O. Hura1.57111111173LSep 24 · 22:45V. Vlasenko1.806440O. Mitla1.911111113WSep 24 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.2511411113M. Smyrnov1.57911881LSep 24 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201111113V. Vlasenko1.616590WSep 24 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.25611911113N. Kovalchuk1.5711511692LSep 24 · 00:15V. Vlasenko2.1071111101O. Napirko1.6711713123
R. Lazebnyi10
WSep 25 · 22:00V. Boyko2.3815161091R. Lazebnyi1.53131812113LSep 25 · 20:00O. Napirko2.00711911113R. Lazebnyi1.7311511672LSep 20 · 11:05O. Mitla2.75911156113R. Lazebnyi1.40117131182LSep 20 · 10:05O. Napirko2.1013911113R. Lazebnyi1.671111721LSep 20 · 08:35A. Kotyk1.801111113R. Lazebnyi1.918780LSep 20 · 06:35A. Shypilov3.25116138113R. Lazebnyi1.33611111172LSep 20 · 04:35N. Kovalchuk1.61114118113R. Lazebnyi2.2071151162WSep 19 · 18:35V. Vlasenko2.25611681R. Lazebnyi1.5711811113LSep 19 · 17:35N. Kovalchuk2.6371111113R. Lazebnyi1.44114661LSep 19 · 16:05V. Boyko2.201111912103R. Lazebnyi1.6179111482
Upcoming Matches
V. Vlasenko
R. Lazebnyi
Sep 26 · 01:30R. Lazebnyi1.61M. Smyrnov2.20—Sep 26 · 02:30R. Lazebnyi1.40O. Mitla2.75—Sep 26 · 12:05R. Lazebnyi2.25N. Kovalchuk1.57—Sep 26 · 14:05R. Lazebnyi1.44A. Shypilov2.63—Sep 26 · 16:05R. Lazebnyi1.50O. Mitla2.50—Sep 26 · 17:35R. Lazebnyi2.00O. Hura1.73—Sep 26 · 18:35R. Lazebnyi1.61V. Boyko2.20—
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