TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Krupa vs Adam Ruszkiewicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
2111169111214––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
2111169111214––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 17–9 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-9 in 26
Krupa
Wrong
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1394 vs Ruszkiewicz 1330
Krupa
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 80% vs Ruszkiewicz 40%
Krupa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 50% vs Ruszkiewicz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa +1 · Ruszkiewicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 2.10 / Ruszkiewicz 1.60
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13199790
Krupa2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 23)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 66 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Ruszkiewicz1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 42 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa6wins
AwayRuszkiewicz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa75%3 of 4
AwayRuszkiewicz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Krupa5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Krupa7Ruszkiewicz3n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S4Krupa6Ruszkiewicz3n = 9Krupa took 6 of 9
S5Krupa2Ruszkiewicz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaRuszkiewiczK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.6+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 611 vs 325 / 86850.3%37.4%307 / 611 vs 325 / 868Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczKrupa 2.10/Ruszkiewicz 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 16:00S. Krupa36911971A. Ruszkiewicz4011711113
WSep 12 · 00:35S. Krupa4491113113A. Ruszkiewicz361191151
LSep 11 · 18:30S. Krupa32761451A. Ruszkiewicz45111112113
WSep 9 · 18:25S. Krupa4011711113A. Ruszkiewicz37911891
WSep 2 · 16:00S. Krupa518101111113A. Ruszkiewicz4311124882
LAug 26 · 17:10S. Krupa4221181292A. Ruszkiewicz481151110113
LJun 19 · 23:30S. Krupa4211861252A. Ruszkiewicz485111110113
WJun 19 · 19:10S. Krupa44121011113A. Ruszkiewicz381012881
WApr 7 · 04:00S. Krupa50811119113A. Ruszkiewicz3611551142
WFeb 25 · 18:10S. Krupa331111113A. Ruszkiewicz258890
S. Krupa10
WSep 23 · 20:20S. Krupa1.7211911113M. Adamus1.83611891LSep 23 · 18:45K. Juszczyk1.8081311113S. Krupa1.911111471WSep 23 · 18:00R. Wiza2.607890S. Krupa1.421111113WSep 23 · 17:10S. Krupa1.65111486113K. Hetnar2.12812111172WSep 23 · 16:00S. Krupa2.8011101111113M. Koczyba1.3913129882LSep 16 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.501112113S. Krupa2.3241070LSep 16 · 19:10O. Sokolowski1.9911812123S. Krupa1.6781110101WSep 16 · 18:25S. Krupa1.8311118113M. Adamus1.86741191LSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113LSep 16 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1611711113S. Krupa1.57911971
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 22 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.311111143K. Kowalski3.2067120WSep 22 · 06:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.831111113R. Gajda1.863290LSep 22 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz3.2069100K. Hetnar1.311111123LSep 22 · 04:25I. Szymanski2.50711119113A. Ruszkiewicz1.4511871152LSep 22 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111151082J. Kaczmarek1.70691112113WSep 19 · 05:05A. Ruszkiewicz1.601111113R. Adach2.157960LSep 19 · 03:30A. Ruszkiewicz1.898117101K. Juszczyk1.8211411123LSep 19 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.6111139952G. Sawicki1.977111111113WSep 19 · 00:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.85111110113D. Fira1.70781281WSep 16 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1611711113S. Krupa1.57911971
Upcoming Matches
S. Krupa
Nothing scheduled
A. Ruszkiewicz
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