TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Kryvorotko vs Oleg Gavryshko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116511711911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Kryvorotko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Kryvorotko above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Yevhenii Kryvorotko at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Kryvorotko 47–43 Oleg Gavryshko Oleg Gavryshko has won 43 of their 90 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kryvorotko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-43 in 90
Kryvorotko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kryvorotko 1835 vs Gavryshko 1825
Kryvorotko
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kryvorotko 80% vs Gavryshko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kryvorotko 90% vs Gavryshko 60%
Kryvorotko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kryvorotko +4 · Gavryshko +1
Kryvorotko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kryvorotko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKryvorotko 1.73 / Gavryshko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kryvorotko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13197529
Kryvorotko1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 25)
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 125 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Gavryshko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 25)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKryvorotko3wins
AwayGavryshko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGavryshko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKryvorotko50%3 of 6
AwayGavryshko100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kryvorotko6Gavryshko4n = 10Kryvorotko took 6 of 10
S2Kryvorotko2Gavryshko8n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S3Kryvorotko5Gavryshko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kryvorotko4Gavryshko5n = 9Gavryshko took 5 of 9
S5Kryvorotko1Gavryshko3n = 4Gavryshko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKryvorotkoGavryshkoK − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.942.8−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKryvorotkoGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 504 vs 343 / 62163.5%55.2%320 / 504 vs 343 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KryvorotkoKryvorotko 1.73/Gavryshko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kryvorotko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko366811111O. Gavryshko4311118133
WSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko5211713213O. Gavryshko4871111191
WSep 18 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko4111811113O. Gavryshko29511761
LSep 13 · 04:25Y. Kryvorotko47481111132O. Gavryshko51111177153
LSep 6 · 00:25Y. Kryvorotko4111561272O. Gavryshko485111110113
LSep 4 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko2477100O. Gavryshko341111123
LAug 29 · 21:25Y. Kryvorotko351186101O. Gavryshko4171111123
WAug 28 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko48111196113O. Gavryshko4369111162
LAug 16 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko4711119792O. Gavryshko49881111113
LAug 14 · 16:55Y. Kryvorotko28661151O. Gavryshko4211119113
Y. Kryvorotko10
WSep 25 · 19:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22581114113O. Mishchenko4.00111191252WSep 25 · 17:55A. Chepurnyi2.20115641Y. Kryvorotko1.6181111113WSep 25 · 16:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4071111113I. Demchenko2.75111441WSep 25 · 15:55O. Dukhovenko1.83811781Y. Kryvorotko1.8311611113LSep 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko1.836811111O. Gavryshko1.8311118133WSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113WSep 20 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko1.6711118113M. Smyrnov2.10781151WSep 20 · 01:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611113113A. Chepurnyi2.2091180WSep 19 · 23:55Y. Kryvorotko1.22711713113O. Mishchenko4.00119111172WSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 25 · 20:25O. Gavryshko1.301111113I. Demchenko3.408990LSep 25 · 18:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311147113O. Gavryshko2.381121151WSep 25 · 16:25A. Chepurnyi1.837970O. Gavryshko1.831111113WSep 25 · 15:25O. Gavryshko1.44111211113O. Mishchenko2.63714861WSep 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko1.836811111O. Gavryshko1.8311118133LSep 21 · 03:25O. Mishchenko3.001111113O. Gavryshko1.365690LSep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.8312050A. Chepurnyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko2.6314111772O. Dukhovenko1.441211911113WSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062LSep 19 · 21:55Y. Kryvorotko1.8011713213O. Gavryshko1.9171111191
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