TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Dukhovenko vs Oleg Gavryshko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1111412711115––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Dukhovenko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Dukhovenko above · Oleg Gavryshko below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 72 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Dukhovenko at 62.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Dukhovenko 88–60 Oleg Gavryshko Oleg Gavryshko has won 60 of their 148 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:19What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dukhovenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
88-60 in 148
Dukhovenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 148, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dukhovenko 1769 vs Gavryshko 1830
Gavryshko
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dukhovenko 40% vs Gavryshko 60%
Gavryshko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dukhovenko 50% vs Gavryshko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dukhovenko -3 · Gavryshko +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dukhovenko) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gavryshko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDukhovenko 1.53 / Gavryshko 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dukhovenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191448
Dukhovenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 217 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it97% 137 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it90% 170 of 189
Gavryshko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDukhovenko6wins
AwayGavryshko4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDukhovenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDukhovenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayGavryshko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dukhovenko7Gavryshko3n = 10Dukhovenko took 7 of 10
S2Dukhovenko9Gavryshko1n = 10Dukhovenko took 9 of 10
S3Dukhovenko3Gavryshko7n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Dukhovenko5Gavryshko3n = 8Dukhovenko took 5 of 8
S5Dukhovenko2Gavryshko4n = 6Gavryshko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDukhovenkoGavryshkoD − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.540.9+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDukhovenkoGavryshkoBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 850 vs 342 / 61963.1%55.3%536 / 850 vs 342 / 619Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DukhovenkoDukhovenko 1.53/Gavryshko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Dukhovenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dukhovenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 01:25O. Dukhovenko541211911113O. Gavryshko4014111772
LSep 19 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko52111115962O. Gavryshko52581711113
LSep 18 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko4411119582O. Gavryshko44561111113
LSep 12 · 22:55O. Dukhovenko4311761362O. Gavryshko517111111113
LSep 11 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko47211151272O. Gavryshko571181710113
WSep 6 · 21:25O. Dukhovenko4111118113O. Gavryshko37981191
WSep 6 · 02:25O. Dukhovenko48111169113O. Gavryshko4459111182
WSep 4 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko3731112113O. Gavryshko331141081
WAug 30 · 01:55O. Dukhovenko361411113O. Gavryshko2612950
WAug 28 · 17:55O. Dukhovenko331111113O. Gavryshko259790
O. Dukhovenko10
WSep 25 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi2.505750O. Dukhovenko1.501111113LSep 25 · 17:25O. Dukhovenko1.67111012111O. Mishchenko2.1081214133LSep 25 · 15:55O. Dukhovenko1.83811781Y. Kryvorotko1.8311611113LSep 25 · 13:55O. Dukhovenko1.22521171I. Demchenko4.0011116113WSep 21 · 03:55P. Plakushchyi7.007780O. Dukhovenko1.081111113WSep 21 · 02:55M. Smyrnov3.7513112101O. Dukhovenko1.25111311123WSep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko2.6314111772O. Dukhovenko1.441211911113WSep 20 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi2.6367110O. Dukhovenko1.441111133WSep 20 · 21:25O. Mishchenko2.50681171O. Dukhovenko1.5011116113LSep 20 · 03:25O. Dukhovenko1.9111341642Y. Kryvorotko1.808111114113
O. Gavryshko10
WSep 25 · 16:25A. Chepurnyi1.837970O. Gavryshko1.831111113WSep 25 · 15:25O. Gavryshko1.44111211113O. Mishchenko2.63714861WSep 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko1.836811111O. Gavryshko1.8311118133LSep 21 · 03:25O. Mishchenko3.001111113O. Gavryshko1.365690LSep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.8312050A. Chepurnyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko2.6314111772O. Dukhovenko1.441211911113WSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 21:54O. Gavryshko1.7311119113M. Smyrnov2.00751131LSep 20 · 04:25M. Smyrnov2.00111195113O. Gavryshko1.7397111182WSep 20 · 02:55O. Gavryshko1.835111011113A. Chepurnyi1.8311812582
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