TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleg Gavryshko vs Ivan Demchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 78.6% is still 78.6%
Graded at full timeOleg Gavryshko to win
78.6%
78.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleg Gavryshko above · Ivan Demchenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleg Gavryshko at 78.6%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Gavryshko 13–1 Ivan Demchenko Ivan Demchenko has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Gavryshko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-1 in 14
Gavryshko
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gavryshko 1802 vs Demchenko 1677
Gavryshko
Correct
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gavryshko 60% vs Demchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gavryshko 50% vs Demchenko 30%
Gavryshko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gavryshko -1 · Demchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gavryshko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Demchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGavryshko 1.30 / Demchenko 3.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Gavryshko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13191437
Gavryshko1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 81 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 68 of 82
Demchenko3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 18 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back8% 5 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGavryshko9wins
AwayDemchenko1wins
Gavryshko leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGavryshko100%8 of 8
AwayDemchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gavryshko8Demchenko2n = 10Gavryshko took 8 of 10
S2Gavryshko7Demchenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S3Gavryshko7Demchenko3n = 10Gavryshko took 7 of 10
S4Gavryshko5Demchenko0n = 5Gavryshko took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGavryshkoDemchenkoG − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.128.5+7.6per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGavryshkoDemchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 620 vs 71 / 16055.2%44.4%342 / 620 vs 71 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.735.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GavryshkoGavryshko 1.30/Demchenko 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.6%
Gavryshko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gavryshko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 15:55O. Gavryshko331111113I. Demchenko131390
WSep 7 · 01:55O. Gavryshko4061111123I. Demchenko381198101
LSep 6 · 04:25O. Gavryshko30127110I. Demchenko381411133
WAug 16 · 22:55O. Gavryshko4211119113I. Demchenko35971181
WAug 15 · 21:25O. Gavryshko3811112143I. Demchenko306111121
WAug 7 · 20:25O. Gavryshko3611311113I. Demchenko37911981
WAug 3 · 00:25O. Gavryshko331111113I. Demchenko195680
WAug 2 · 00:55O. Gavryshko351311113I. Demchenko2411580
WJul 12 · 21:55O. Gavryshko331111113I. Demchenko229850
WJul 12 · 02:25O. Gavryshko4111811113I. Demchenko29611661
O. Gavryshko10
LSep 25 · 18:25O. Dukhovenko1.5311147113O. Gavryshko2.381121151WSep 25 · 16:25A. Chepurnyi1.837970O. Gavryshko1.831111113WSep 25 · 15:25O. Gavryshko1.44111211113O. Mishchenko2.63714861WSep 25 · 14:25Y. Kryvorotko1.836811111O. Gavryshko1.8311118133LSep 21 · 03:25O. Mishchenko3.001111113O. Gavryshko1.365690LSep 21 · 02:25O. Gavryshko1.8312050A. Chepurnyi1.831411113LSep 21 · 01:25O. Gavryshko2.6314111772O. Dukhovenko1.441211911113WSep 20 · 23:55O. Gavryshko1.44116812113P. Plakushchyi2.63311111062WSep 20 · 21:54O. Gavryshko1.7311119113M. Smyrnov2.00751131LSep 20 · 04:25M. Smyrnov2.00111195113O. Gavryshko1.7397111182
I. Demchenko10
WSep 25 · 18:55I. Demchenko1.577111210113O. Mishchenko2.25114101222LSep 25 · 16:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4071111113I. Demchenko2.75111441WSep 25 · 14:55A. Chepurnyi1.447511121I. Demchenko2.6311113143WSep 25 · 13:55O. Dukhovenko1.22521171I. Demchenko4.0011116113LSep 14 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.4481111113I. Demchenko2.63119661LSep 14 · 02:55I. Demchenko1.577760P. Plakushchyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 00:55O. Dukhovenko1.281111113I. Demchenko3.505560LSep 13 · 22:55Y. Kryvorotko1.4051111123I. Demchenko2.751194101LSep 13 · 21:55O. Mishchenko2.501111113I. Demchenko1.507950LSep 11 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko1.28111183I. Demchenko3.503540
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