TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Fastov vs Vitalii Klymenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117811117117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 88.6% is still 88.6%
Graded at full timeAndrii Fastov to win
88.6%
88.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Fastov above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Fastov at 88.6%
89 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Fastov 14–3 Vitalii Klymenko Vitalii Klymenko has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Fastov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Fastov
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fastov 1189 vs Klymenko 991
Fastov
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fastov 80% vs Klymenko 40%
Fastov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fastov 50% vs Klymenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fastov +1 · Klymenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Fastov) · live re-read · sealed at 89% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFastov 1.13 / Klymenko 5.50
Signal prob.88% / 12%
Edge (Fastov)+4.8pp
Setka Cup · #13196351
Fastov1.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite77% won 65 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Klymenko5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 32 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFastov9wins
AwayKlymenko1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFastov leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFastov90%9 of 10
AwayKlymenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fastov10Klymenko0n = 10Fastov took 10 of 10
S2Fastov9Klymenko1n = 10Fastov took 9 of 10
S3Fastov7Klymenko3n = 10Fastov took 7 of 10
S4Fastov3Klymenko1n = 4Fastov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFastovKlymenkoF − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match37.225.7+11.5per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFastovKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 224 vs 94 / 24451.8%38.5%116 / 224 vs 94 / 244Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FastovFastov 1.13/Klymenko 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.8%
Fastov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fastov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 06:00A. Fastov331111113V. Klymenko195860
WAug 10 · 17:43A. Fastov331111113V. Klymenko155550
LAug 10 · 13:30A. Fastov46141112272V. Klymenko551271411113
WAug 1 · 10:30A. Fastov4111118113V. Klymenko28591131
WJul 27 · 17:04A. Fastov341111123V. Klymenko2477100
WJul 27 · 13:30A. Fastov331111113V. Klymenko205870
WJul 25 · 06:30A. Fastov44111111113V. Klymenko28513551
WJul 20 · 13:30A. Fastov341211113V. Klymenko1810260
WJul 18 · 06:00A. Fastov4111118113V. Klymenko30671161
WJul 11 · 07:00A. Fastov331111113V. Klymenko209470
A. Fastov10
WSep 26 · 06:30A. Fastov1.20115117123D. Aldayev4.33811711102LSep 26 · 05:30A. Fastov2.3881490R. Boklah1.531116113WSep 12 · 10:30A. Fastov2.63601111103S. Priadko1.4411115772WSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092WSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271LSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 04:30A. Fastov3.0081370I. Torhachov1.361115113LSep 5 · 11:00A. Fastov2.0014137882R. Boklah1.7312111111113WSep 5 · 09:00Y. Priadko4.50991181A. Fastov1.1711119113LSep 5 · 08:00A. Fastov1.73931211102O. Kolos2.001111103123
V. Klymenko10
LSep 26 · 07:00V. Klymenko2.2010890R. Boklah1.611211113LSep 26 · 06:00O. Kolos1.301151111123V. Klymenko3.40711138102WSep 26 · 05:00V. Klymenko1.6711116113D. Aldayev2.10731191LSep 23 · 17:28V. Klymenko3.5011114382O. Kolos1.28931111113WSep 23 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.10911411102V. Klymenko1.67118117123WSep 23 · 14:30V. Klymenko2.381111113R. Boklah1.534590LSep 23 · 13:30O. Kolos1.361111113V. Klymenko3.004680WSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731LSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113LSep 21 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.75114711102R. Boklah1.40711114123
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