TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Denis Aldayev vs Vitalii Klymenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Denis Aldayev
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111184111171012
Vitalii Klymenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeVitalii Klymenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenis Aldayev above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Vitalii Klymenko at 56.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Denis Aldayev 19–20 Vitalii Klymenko Denis Aldayev has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:28What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-20 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Aldayev 966 vs Klymenko 994
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Aldayev 40% vs Klymenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Aldayev 60% vs Klymenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Aldayev -1 · Klymenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Klymenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAldayev 2.10 / Klymenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Klymenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13180088
Aldayev2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 15 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Klymenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 21 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAldayev4wins
AwayKlymenko6wins
Klymenko leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAldayev100%4 of 4
AwayKlymenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Aldayev4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S2Aldayev5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Aldayev4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S4Aldayev2Klymenko3n = 5Klymenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAldayevKlymenkoA − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.632.6−1.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAldayevKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 240 vs 94 / 24442.5%38.5%102 / 240 vs 94 / 244Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoAldayev 2.10/Klymenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 14:00D. Aldayev164480V. Klymenko331111113
WSep 19 · 06:00D. Aldayev3611311113V. Klymenko20611211
LSep 14 · 13:30D. Aldayev387131441V. Klymenko49111116113
LSep 7 · 15:00D. Aldayev199460V. Klymenko331111113
WAug 31 · 17:03D. Aldayev4211119113V. Klymenko30821191
WAug 31 · 13:30D. Aldayev391612113V. Klymenko32141080
LAug 17 · 12:00D. Aldayev2679100V. Klymenko341111123
LAug 15 · 04:30D. Aldayev34611891V. Klymenko4111811113
WJul 18 · 10:30D. Aldayev331111113V. Klymenko154740
LJul 13 · 12:30D. Aldayev33971161V. Klymenko3911116113
D. Aldayev10
LSep 23 · 16:30D. Aldayev3.2565100O. Kolos1.331111123LSep 23 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.20118111082V. Ivnytskyi1.61811912113WSep 23 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.3311121115113R. Boklah1.2081471742WSep 21 · 16:30D. Aldayev2.75121169113O. Kolos1.40109111192LSep 21 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.1011119622V. Ivnytskyi1.67481111113LSep 21 · 14:00D. Aldayev1.834480V. Klymenko1.831111113LSep 21 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.33711117112R. Boklah1.20116511133WSep 19 · 10:30D. Aldayev2.38119711113Y. Priadko1.5391111662WSep 19 · 09:00D. Aldayev3.401121112133O. Kolos1.301311910112WSep 19 · 07:30D. Aldayev5.50591113113R. Boklah1.13111131162
V. Klymenko10
WSep 23 · 14:30V. Klymenko2.381111113R. Boklah1.534590LSep 23 · 13:30O. Kolos1.361111113V. Klymenko3.004680WSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731LSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113LSep 21 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.75114711102R. Boklah1.40711114123LSep 21 · 15:00O. Kolos1.33129119113V. Klymenko3.25101171152WSep 21 · 14:00D. Aldayev1.834480V. Klymenko1.831111113WSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.67881141V. Klymenko2.1011115113WSep 19 · 11:30R. Boklah1.40118101182V. Klymenko2.75611123113LSep 19 · 10:00V. Klymenko1.91101110101V. Ivnytskyi1.8012912123
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