TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Masko vs Alexander Tuzhylin 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611117––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeAlexander Tuzhylin to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Alexander Tuzhylin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Alexander Tuzhylin at 73.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 74–143 Alexander Tuzhylin Yevhen Masko has won 74 of their 217 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Tuzhylin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
74-143 in 217
Tuzhylin
Wrong
gap of 69 in 217, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1666 vs Tuzhylin 1794
Tuzhylin
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 20% vs Tuzhylin 80%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 40% vs Tuzhylin 70%
Tuzhylin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -1 · Tuzhylin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Tuzhylin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 3.00 / Tuzhylin 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Tuzhylin)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13191316
Masko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 36 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 35
Tuzhylin1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 192 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it98% 123 of 125
Up 1–0, closes it90% 147 of 164
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko4wins
AwayTuzhylin6wins
Tuzhylin leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko57.1%4 of 7
AwayTuzhylin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko7Tuzhylin3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Masko5Tuzhylin5n = 10split evenly
S3Masko3Tuzhylin7n = 10Tuzhylin took 7 of 10
S4Masko1Tuzhylin3n = 4Tuzhylin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoTuzhylinM − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match31.233.6−2.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoTuzhylinBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 732 vs 490 / 64357.1%76.2%418 / 732 vs 490 / 643Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TuzhylinMasko 3.00/Tuzhylin 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Tuzhylin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko361411113A. Tuzhylin2512760
LSep 18 · 22:55Y. Masko29613731A. Tuzhylin44111111113
WSep 13 · 20:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin249690
LSep 12 · 16:55Y. Masko217860A. Tuzhylin331111113
WSep 11 · 21:25Y. Masko3811115113A. Tuzhylin31781151
LSep 5 · 19:25Y. Masko2251160A. Tuzhylin351113113
LSep 4 · 21:25Y. Masko3811107101A. Tuzhylin4491211123
WAug 29 · 13:25Y. Masko331111113A. Tuzhylin248880
LAug 28 · 23:25Y. Masko31119741A. Tuzhylin4291111113
Y. Masko10
LSep 26 · 00:55V. Melnik1.731111123Y. Masko2.0078100WSep 25 · 22:55R. Reznychenko3.25881181Y. Masko1.3311118113LSep 25 · 21:55E. Pismenniy3.0011711123Y. Masko1.368116101LSep 20 · 19:55Y. Masko1.536118141E. Pismenniy2.3811811163LSep 20 · 17:55R. Reznychenko3.00311711113Y. Masko1.3611411382WSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760LSep 20 · 15:55S. Hohenko2.00117119113Y. Masko1.7381131192LSep 20 · 14:25Y. Masko1.501113951R. Cherevko2.508151183WSep 19 · 19:55E. Pismenniy2.389890Y. Masko1.531111113WSep 19 · 18:55R. Reznychenko3.006950Y. Masko1.361111103
A. Tuzhylin10
WSep 26 · 01:25E. Pismenniy6.501181191A. Tuzhylin1.1051113113LSep 25 · 23:25R. Cherevko2.501711113A. Tuzhylin1.5015960WSep 25 · 21:25R. Reznychenko5.509480A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 20:25R. Cherevko2.757890A. Tuzhylin1.401111113WSep 20 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.11511713113E. Pismenniy6.00116111172LSep 20 · 16:55Y. Masko2.631411113A. Tuzhylin1.4412760WSep 20 · 14:55R. Reznychenko5.506970A. Tuzhylin1.131111113WSep 20 · 13:55S. Hohenko2.757911101A. Tuzhylin1.4011117123LSep 19 · 19:25A. Tuzhylin1.5078100R. Cherevko2.501111123WSep 19 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.007650
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