TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Mateusz Zagajewski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111012––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMateusz Zagajewski to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
5116111012––––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 8–17 Mateusz Zagajewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 8 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (63%)
Zagajewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-17 in 25
Zagajewski
Correct
gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1305 vs Zagajewski 1341
Zagajewski
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Zagajewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 40% vs Zagajewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -1 · Zagajewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Zagajewski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.46 / Zagajewski 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zagajewski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13188529
Lukaszewski2.46
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 260 of 638
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 346
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 191
Zagajewski1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski2wins
AwayZagajewski8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZagajewski leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZagajewski100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski2Zagajewski8n = 10Zagajewski took 8 of 10
S2Lukaszewski6Zagajewski4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski3Zagajewski7n = 10Zagajewski took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski1Zagajewski3n = 4Zagajewski took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiZagajewskiL − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.837.4−6.6per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime905 / 2002 vs 363 / 73645.2%49.3%905 / 2002 vs 363 / 736Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZagajewskiLukaszewski 2.46/Zagajewski 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Zagajewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zagajewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 10:30M. Lukaszewski351111133M. Zagajewski2669110
LSep 20 · 07:15M. Lukaszewski33611971M. Zagajewski4011711113
WMar 12 · 04:50M. Lukaszewski331111113M. Zagajewski156540
LMar 6 · 10:25M. Lukaszewski2165100M. Zagajewski341111123
LFeb 19 · 11:30M. Lukaszewski186480M. Zagajewski331111113
LFeb 12 · 11:10M. Lukaszewski153660M. Zagajewski331111113
LJan 23 · 08:05M. Lukaszewski206770M. Zagajewski331111113
LNov 27 · 14:05M. Lukaszewski4271111762M. Zagajewski49118811113
LNov 27 · 07:05M. Lukaszewski411515471M. Zagajewski52171311113
LNov 7 · 08:45M. Lukaszewski5091351762M. Zagajewski5911111115113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 25 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.876990D. Wrobel1.831111113LSep 24 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.81411911R. Stapor1.9011711113WSep 24 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40791113102M. Lukaszewski1.501111911123LSep 24 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn1.85121111113M. Lukaszewski1.801013871LSep 24 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.9591111101A. Mugowski1.7011135123WSep 24 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski1.851114113F. Krcil1.8541280LSep 23 · 08:10B. Czerwinski1.4791111113M. Lukaszewski2.45116771LSep 23 · 07:20M. Zwolinski1.9511911113M. Lukaszewski1.75911791WSep 23 · 05:15A. Szoltysek1.809570M. Lukaszewski1.901111113LSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841
M. Zagajewski10
LSep 25 · 04:30M. Zagajewski1.55691181B. Wisniewski2.2511115113WSep 20 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.959630M. Zagajewski1.741111113LSep 20 · 13:00I. Dabrowski1.78711911113M. Zagajewski1.9111611472WSep 20 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.9011511113M. Misiak1.80511681LSep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.7069110M. Lukaszewski2.001111133LSep 20 · 09:45K. Kufel1.7761111123M. Zagajewski1.951176101LSep 20 · 08:30K. Kufel1.801111123M. Zagajewski1.8578100WSep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.6211711113M. Lukaszewski2.20611971LSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.8751111113M. Zagajewski1.83114471LSep 20 · 04:50M. Misiak1.8011116113M. Zagajewski1.90961181
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