TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Dariusz Wrobel 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
611911911––––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 19–14 Dariusz Wrobel Dariusz Wrobel has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:16What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Wrobel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-14 in 33
Lukaszewski
Wrong
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1276 vs Wrobel 1299
Wrobel
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 20% vs Wrobel 40%
Wrobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 30% vs Wrobel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -2 · Wrobel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukaszewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wrobel form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 1.87 / Wrobel 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13192739
Lukaszewski1.87
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 260 of 638
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 346
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 191
Wrobel1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 76 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it78% 59 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayWrobel5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%5 of 5
AwayWrobel100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski5Wrobel5n = 10split evenly
S2Lukaszewski3Wrobel7n = 10Wrobel took 7 of 10
S3Lukaszewski7Wrobel3n = 10Lukaszewski took 7 of 10
S4Lukaszewski4Wrobel4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiWrobelL − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.4−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiWrobelBasisWin rate · lifetime905 / 2004 vs 527 / 110345.2%47.8%905 / 2004 vs 527 / 1103Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiLukaszewski 1.87/Wrobel 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wrobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski246990D. Wrobel331111113
LSep 22 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski4898111192D. Wrobel46111158113
WAug 20 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski3911611113D. Wrobel34511991
WAug 18 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski4413911113D. Wrobel351111491
LJul 4 · 00:10M. Lukaszewski31971141D. Wrobel4111118113
WJul 3 · 21:45M. Lukaszewski4212811113D. Wrobel371011791
LMay 26 · 02:20M. Lukaszewski33811861D. Wrobel3911611113
WMay 25 · 23:55M. Lukaszewski46118115113D. Wrobel4181151162
WApr 14 · 00:45M. Lukaszewski351311113D. Wrobel2711970
LApr 13 · 22:20M. Lukaszewski26611541D. Wrobel4111811113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 25 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski2.4656100M. Zagajewski1.421111123LSep 24 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.81411911R. Stapor1.9011711113WSep 24 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40791113102M. Lukaszewski1.501111911123LSep 24 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn1.85121111113M. Lukaszewski1.801013871LSep 24 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.9591111101A. Mugowski1.7011135123WSep 24 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski1.851114113F. Krcil1.8541280LSep 23 · 08:10B. Czerwinski1.4791111113M. Lukaszewski2.45116771LSep 23 · 07:20M. Zwolinski1.9511911113M. Lukaszewski1.75911791WSep 23 · 05:15A. Szoltysek1.809570M. Lukaszewski1.901111113LSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor1.4091111113M. Lukaszewski2.65117841
D. Wrobel10
LSep 25 · 03:25B. Czerwinski1.251111113D. Wrobel3.406880WSep 22 · 07:40B. Wisniewski1.77121040D. Wrobel1.951412113LSep 22 · 06:55A. Sobel1.2681411113D. Wrobel3.201112881LSep 22 · 06:05D. Wrobel2.601011731B. Sulkowski1.4212811113WSep 22 · 04:30D. Wrobel1.80111158113M. Lukaszewski1.8598111192LSep 22 · 03:50R. Stapor1.451211113D. Wrobel2.5010760LSep 19 · 08:05D. Poloszczanski2.1011117113D. Wrobel1.66671191WSep 19 · 07:15B. Mleczko1.5341014141D. Wrobel2.38111212163WSep 19 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.88612631D. Wrobel1.82111011113LSep 19 · 04:25I. Dabrowski1.54116112113D. Wrobel2.2581191132
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