TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Stapor vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 05:40Scheduled
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Head to head
25 – 16
All 41 meetings · 61.0%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Neither player arrives off a win — both lost their last one. The streak signal has nobody to back here.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 22h before this match
Stapor beat Lukaszewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStapor 1.44 / Lukaszewski 2.60
TT Elite Series · #13192748
Stapor1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 392 of 623
Up 2–0, closes it96% 201 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it81% 300 of 371
Lukaszewski2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 260 of 638
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 346
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStapor7wins
AwayLukaszewski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStapor leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStapor100%4 of 4
AwayLukaszewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stapor4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Stapor8Lukaszewski2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S3Stapor8Lukaszewski2n = 10Stapor took 8 of 10
S4Stapor4Lukaszewski3n = 7Stapor took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaporLukaszewskiS − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.432.9+6.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaporLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime700 / 1240 vs 905 / 200456.5%45.2%700 / 1240 vs 905 / 2004Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 08:10R. Stapor4011711113M. Lukaszewski25411911
WSep 23 · 04:30R. Stapor4291111113M. Lukaszewski30117841
LSep 22 · 08:10R. Stapor33811771M. Lukaszewski3811511113
WSep 21 · 08:10R. Stapor541291111113M. Lukaszewski5014117992
LSep 3 · 03:25R. Stapor37713891M. Lukaszewski44111111113
WJun 11 · 10:10R. Stapor351111133M. Lukaszewski2274110
LJun 10 · 04:30R. Stapor4391111842M. Lukaszewski49117911113
WMay 27 · 07:05R. Stapor4291111113M. Lukaszewski33117871
WMay 27 · 04:35R. Stapor331111113M. Lukaszewski164660
WMay 21 · 12:35R. Stapor351311113M. Lukaszewski2211380
R. Stapor10
LSep 25 · 04:10R. Stapor2.5579110B. Czerwinski1.461111133WSep 25 · 03:00R. Stapor1.351114113B. Wisniewski2.9071250LSep 24 · 14:20R. Stapor2.878360K. Wisniewski1.371111113LSep 24 · 12:40W. Iwasyszyn1.621111113R. Stapor2.177860WSep 24 · 11:50B. Czerwinski1.57591191R. Stapor2.2011119113WSep 24 · 11:00R. Stapor1.60111197113F. Krcil2.2155111162LSep 24 · 09:50R. Stapor1.851011116112A. Mugowski1.80128711133WSep 24 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.81411911R. Stapor1.9011711113WSep 24 · 07:20A. Mugowski2.206790R. Stapor1.601111113WSep 24 · 05:15B. Wisniewski3.10711981R. Stapor1.3311611113
M. Lukaszewski10
LSep 25 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.876990D. Wrobel1.831111113LSep 25 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski2.4656100M. Zagajewski1.421111123LSep 24 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.81411911R. Stapor1.9011711113WSep 24 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40791113102M. Lukaszewski1.501111911123LSep 24 · 05:40W. Iwasyszyn1.85121111113M. Lukaszewski1.801013871LSep 24 · 04:55M. Lukaszewski1.9591111101A. Mugowski1.7011135123WSep 24 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski1.851114113F. Krcil1.8541280LSep 23 · 08:10B. Czerwinski1.4791111113M. Lukaszewski2.45116771LSep 23 · 07:20M. Zwolinski1.9511911113M. Lukaszewski1.75911791WSep 23 · 05:15A. Szoltysek1.809570M. Lukaszewski1.901111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Stapor
Nothing scheduled
M. Lukaszewski
Event Chatroom
Nobody has written yet. Sign in to be the first.
Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.