TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Zagajewski vs Bartlomiej Wisniewski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911115811––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:05 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Zagajewski to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
611911115811––
H2H Mateusz Zagajewski 9–6 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Zagajewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Zagajewski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zagajewski 1356 vs Wisniewski 1259
Zagajewski
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zagajewski 40% vs Wisniewski 20%
Zagajewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zagajewski 40% vs Wisniewski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zagajewski +1 · Wisniewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zagajewski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZagajewski 1.55 / Wisniewski 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Zagajewski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13192718
Zagajewski1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 32 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Wisniewski2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 161 of 447
Down 0–1, comes back15% 40 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZagajewski7wins
AwayWisniewski3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZagajewski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZagajewski100%4 of 4
AwayWisniewski50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zagajewski4Wisniewski6n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S2Zagajewski8Wisniewski2n = 10Zagajewski took 8 of 10
S3Zagajewski3Wisniewski7n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S4Zagajewski5Wisniewski4n = 9Zagajewski took 5 of 9
S5Zagajewski4Wisniewski0n = 4Zagajewski took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZagajewskiWisniewskiZ − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.938.9+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZagajewskiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 736 vs 890 / 188149.3%47.3%363 / 736 vs 890 / 1881Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZagajewskiZagajewski 1.55/Wisniewski 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Zagajewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski518111011113B. Wisniewski4911812992
WFeb 19 · 06:25M. Zagajewski51111199113B. Wisniewski4588111172
LFeb 19 · 04:00M. Zagajewski36891181B. Wisniewski4211119113
WNov 13 · 10:20M. Zagajewski528121011113B. Wisniewski48111012872
WOct 31 · 14:25M. Zagajewski529111011113B. Wisniewski3211112352
WOct 24 · 10:30M. Zagajewski4311118133B. Wisniewski376911111
LSep 25 · 11:20M. Zagajewski32611871B. Wisniewski4011711113
WSep 12 · 13:00M. Zagajewski3711411113B. Wisniewski31911651
WJul 23 · 14:15M. Zagajewski331111113B. Wisniewski248790
LJul 3 · 09:00M. Zagajewski32311991B. Wisniewski4111811113
M. Zagajewski10
LSep 25 · 06:05M. Zagajewski1.90712181D. Wrobel1.80111011113WSep 25 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski2.4656100M. Zagajewski1.421111123WSep 20 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.959630M. Zagajewski1.741111113LSep 20 · 13:00I. Dabrowski1.78711911113M. Zagajewski1.9111611472WSep 20 · 12:10M. Zagajewski1.9011511113M. Misiak1.80511681LSep 20 · 10:30M. Zagajewski1.7069110M. Lukaszewski2.001111133LSep 20 · 09:45K. Kufel1.7761111123M. Zagajewski1.951176101LSep 20 · 08:30K. Kufel1.801111123M. Zagajewski1.8578100WSep 20 · 07:15M. Zagajewski1.6211711113M. Lukaszewski2.20611971LSep 20 · 06:00I. Dabrowski1.8751111113M. Zagajewski1.83114471
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 25 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.2411114113B. Wisniewski3.28761171LSep 25 · 03:00R. Stapor1.351114113B. Wisniewski2.9071250WSep 24 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2.351111113F. Krcil1.507760LSep 24 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40791113102M. Lukaszewski1.501111911123LSep 24 · 05:15B. Wisniewski3.10711981R. Stapor1.3311611113LSep 24 · 04:10W. Iwasyszyn1.75131111113B. Wisniewski1.951191391WSep 24 · 03:25B. Wisniewski2.10111195113A. Mugowski1.6554111162LSep 22 · 07:40B. Wisniewski1.77121040D. Wrobel1.951412113LSep 22 · 06:30B. Wisniewski3.15911751R. Stapor1.3011911113WSep 22 · 05:15B. Wisniewski2.001011115163M. Lukaszewski1.70127911142
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