TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavel Hala vs David Brichacek 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
21112101210116––
David Brichacek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Hala above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6
74 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 11–10 David Brichacek David Brichacek has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Brichacek beat Hala 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 1.91 / Brichacek 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Brichacek)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13186215
Hala1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 37 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Brichacek1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 107 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala4wins
AwayBrichacek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBrichacek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala75%3 of 4
AwayBrichacek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala4Brichacek6n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S2Hala4Brichacek6n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S3Hala4Brichacek6n = 10Brichacek took 6 of 10
S4Hala4Brichacek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaBrichacekH − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.338.8−3.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 620 vs 182 / 33750.3%54%312 / 620 vs 182 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekHala 1.91/Brichacek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 19:45P. Hala2210660D. Brichacek341211113
LSep 4 · 20:00P. Hala46311151162D. Brichacek53115179113
LAug 28 · 19:00P. Hala3711511101D. Brichacek4481113123
LAug 25 · 20:28P. Hala29591141D. Brichacek4211119113
WAug 25 · 19:30P. Hala48111196113D. Brichacek3734111182
WAug 23 · 05:15P. Hala4071111113D. Brichacek33116881
WAug 21 · 18:45P. Hala4011711113D. Brichacek32511791
WAug 16 · 10:00P. Hala4111117123D. Brichacek379711101
LJul 5 · 08:59P. Hala29591141D. Brichacek4211119113
LJul 5 · 08:00P. Hala2110740D. Brichacek341211113
P. Hala10
LSep 23 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.831211113P. Hala1.8310660LSep 23 · 18:45J. Jnr1.531111113P. Hala2.386950WSep 23 · 17:15P. Orlowski1.9113811962P. Hala1.801111711113WSep 21 · 16:48V. Lopata1.5341161172P. Hala2.38117119113LSep 21 · 15:45P. Hala2.20119761V. Lopata1.6191111113WSep 21 · 14:15R. Merkl2.10111410452P. Hala1.675121211113WSep 21 · 13:45O. Horak1.91112861P. Hala1.8071111113WSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661LSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 15:00P. Hala1.83118811132L. Kolman1.83511117153
D. Brichacek10
WSep 23 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.831211113P. Hala1.8310660LSep 23 · 18:15P. Orlowski2.1011511113D. Brichacek1.67811771LSep 23 · 17:45J. Jnr2.00111197123D. Brichacek1.73861111102WSep 20 · 08:33T. Kanka1.73911851D. Brichacek2.0011611113LSep 20 · 07:30L. Kolman1.73113514113D. Brichacek2.00911111252LSep 20 · 07:00D. Brichacek1.57211841P. Orlowski2.2511511113LSep 20 · 06:00D. Brichacek1.6110880T. Kanka2.201211113WSep 19 · 09:09D. Brichacek1.671111113P. Orlowski2.109880WSep 19 · 08:00J. Jnr1.91111110432D. Brichacek1.80881211113LSep 19 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.1011115113D. Brichacek1.67451181
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