TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Simecek Jnr vs Pavel Hala 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Jan Simecek Jnr
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Pavel Hala
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeJan Simecek Jnr to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek Jnr above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jan Simecek Jnr at 62.4%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek Jnr 20–13 Pavel Hala Pavel Hala has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-13 in 33
Jnr
Correct
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1621 vs Hala 1595
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Hala 80%
Hala
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 50% vs Hala 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Hala +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.53 / Hala 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Jnr)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13180244
Jnr1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 59 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it85% 29 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 43 of 55
Hala2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 37 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr8wins
AwayHala2wins
Jnr leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr100%7 of 7
AwayHala66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr7Hala3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S2Jnr5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S3Jnr9Hala1n = 10Jnr took 9 of 10
S4Jnr5Hala2n = 7Jnr took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrHalaJ − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.233.5+5.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 421 vs 312 / 61953%50.4%223 / 421 vs 312 / 619Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.53/Hala 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 18:45J. Jnr331111113P. Hala206950
WJul 12 · 08:19J. Jnr341111123P. Hala2798100
WJul 12 · 06:45J. Jnr45121111113P. Hala381013871
WJul 11 · 07:15J. Jnr381311143P. Hala29116120
WApr 27 · 20:00J. Jnr44101211113P. Hala391210981
WApr 22 · 20:34J. Jnr46111014113P. Hala365121271
LApr 22 · 19:30J. Jnr331061161P. Hala3912115113
LFeb 27 · 21:58J. Jnr30951151P. Hala4211119113
WFeb 27 · 21:00J. Jnr4111811113P. Hala31911651
WFeb 25 · 21:19J. Jnr48111115113P. Hala34171791
J. Jnr10
LSep 23 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.8011118113J. Jnr1.91971141WSep 23 · 17:45J. Jnr2.00111197123D. Brichacek1.73861111102LSep 19 · 08:39J. Jnr2.00761191L. Stoces1.7311119113LSep 19 · 08:00J. Jnr1.91111110432D. Brichacek1.80881211113LSep 19 · 06:30L. Stoces1.7314811113J. Jnr2.001211851WSep 19 · 06:00P. Orlowski1.911091214152J. Jnr1.8012111012173WSep 14 · 20:39J. Jnr1.361111143S. Kalensky3.0099120WSep 14 · 20:00J. Jnr1.53111113143P. Rucky2.3813411121WSep 14 · 18:30S. Kalensky2.6397110J. Jnr1.441111133LSep 14 · 18:00R. Merkl2.001112123J. Jnr1.73610100
P. Hala10
LSep 23 · 19:45D. Brichacek1.831211113P. Hala1.8310660WSep 23 · 17:15P. Orlowski1.9113811962P. Hala1.801111711113WSep 21 · 16:48V. Lopata1.5341161172P. Hala2.38117119113LSep 21 · 15:45P. Hala2.20119761V. Lopata1.6191111113WSep 21 · 14:15R. Merkl2.10111410452P. Hala1.675121211113WSep 21 · 13:45O. Horak1.91112861P. Hala1.8071111113WSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661LSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 15:00P. Hala1.83118811132L. Kolman1.83511117153LSep 20 · 14:00P. Hala2.2011980M. Hajek1.61131193
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.