TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi vs Denis Aldayev 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116119––––
Denis Aldayev
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Denis Aldayev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9
57 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 9–4 Denis Aldayev Denis Aldayev has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Ivnytskyi beat Aldayev 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Ivnytskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 1.73 / Aldayev 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Ivnytskyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13184937
Ivnytskyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 8 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Aldayev2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 15 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi7wins
AwayAldayev3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIvnytskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyi75%3 of 4
AwayAldayev33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi4Aldayev6n = 10Aldayev took 6 of 10
S2Ivnytskyi5Aldayev5n = 10split evenly
S3Ivnytskyi5Aldayev5n = 10split evenly
S4Ivnytskyi6Aldayev1n = 7Ivnytskyi took 6 of 7
S5Ivnytskyi3Aldayev1n = 4Ivnytskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiAldayevI − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.636.8+0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiAldayevBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 109 vs 102 / 24237.6%42.2%41 / 109 vs 102 / 242Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IvnytskyiIvnytskyi 1.73/Aldayev 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Ivnytskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 14:00V. Ivnytskyi51811912113D. Aldayev48118111082
WSep 21 · 15:30V. Ivnytskyi45481111113D. Aldayev3911119622
WSep 19 · 04:30V. Ivnytskyi4181111113D. Aldayev31117581
LSep 14 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi124530D. Aldayev331111113
WSep 7 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi4011711113D. Aldayev32911841
WAug 31 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi5310111110113D. Aldayev5112991292
WAug 17 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi331111113D. Aldayev208840
WJul 18 · 08:30V. Ivnytskyi4111172113D. Aldayev356151131
LJul 6 · 16:30V. Ivnytskyi157440D. Aldayev331111113
LApr 18 · 10:00V. Ivnytskyi45117611102D. Aldayev46711115123
V. Ivnytskyi10
LSep 23 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi3.2511108101R. Boklah1.3371211123WSep 23 · 15:00O. Kolos1.17111011892V. Ivnytskyi4.50812711113WSep 23 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.20118111082V. Ivnytskyi1.61811912113LSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731WSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113WSep 21 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.1011119622V. Ivnytskyi1.67481111113WSep 21 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi4.50117118113R. Boklah1.1741161152LSep 21 · 13:30O. Kolos1.201111113V. Ivnytskyi4.337670LSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.67881141V. Klymenko2.1011115113LSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670
D. Aldayev10
LSep 23 · 16:30D. Aldayev3.2565100O. Kolos1.331111123LSep 23 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.10911411102V. Klymenko1.67118117123LSep 23 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.20118111082V. Ivnytskyi1.61811912113WSep 23 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.3311121115113R. Boklah1.2081471742WSep 21 · 16:30D. Aldayev2.75121169113O. Kolos1.40109111192LSep 21 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.1011119622V. Ivnytskyi1.67481111113LSep 21 · 14:00D. Aldayev1.834480V. Klymenko1.831111113LSep 21 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.33711117112R. Boklah1.20116511133WSep 19 · 10:30D. Aldayev2.38119711113Y. Priadko1.5391111662WSep 19 · 09:00D. Aldayev3.401121112133O. Kolos1.301311910112
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