TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolos vs Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181012117811911
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Volodymyr Ivnytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 78.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 11–4 Volodymyr Ivnytskyi Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Kolos
Wrong
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1146 vs Ivnytskyi 1030
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Ivnytskyi 80%
Ivnytskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 60% vs Ivnytskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +2 · Ivnytskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Kolos) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivnytskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.17 / Ivnytskyi 4.50
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Kolos)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13180137
Kolos1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 51 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it89% 39 of 44
Ivnytskyi4.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos8wins
AwayIvnytskyi2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos100%6 of 6
AwayIvnytskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos6Ivnytskyi4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S2Kolos9Ivnytskyi1n = 10Kolos took 9 of 10
S3Kolos10Ivnytskyi0n = 10Kolos took 10 of 10
S4Kolos2Ivnytskyi2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosIvnytskyiK − IBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.927.8+10.1per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosIvnytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 294 vs 40 / 10752.7%37.4%155 / 294 vs 40 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.17/Ivnytskyi 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ivnytskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 13:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi207670
WSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi218670
WAug 10 · 17:13O. Kolos4391211113V. Ivnytskyi321110741
LAug 10 · 14:00O. Kolos50811119112V. Ivnytskyi46114711133
WAug 3 · 16:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi237970
WJul 6 · 13:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi187560
WJun 20 · 08:30O. Kolos391414113V. Ivnytskyi29121250
LJun 13 · 09:30O. Kolos4310811141V. Ivnytskyi4312114163
WMay 26 · 13:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi198470
WMay 23 · 09:30O. Kolos3961111113V. Ivnytskyi27115561
O. Kolos10
WSep 23 · 16:30D. Aldayev3.2565100O. Kolos1.331111123WSep 23 · 13:30O. Kolos1.361111113V. Klymenko3.004680WSep 23 · 12:00O. Kolos2.7511614113R. Boklah1.404111271LSep 21 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4451111113O. Kolos2.63115571LSep 21 · 16:30D. Aldayev2.75121169113O. Kolos1.40109111192WSep 21 · 15:00O. Kolos1.33129119113V. Klymenko3.25101171152WSep 21 · 13:30O. Kolos1.201111113V. Ivnytskyi4.337670LSep 21 · 12:00O. Kolos2.506119101R. Boklah1.5011511123WSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670LSep 19 · 09:00D. Aldayev3.401121112133O. Kolos1.301311910112
V. Ivnytskyi10
WSep 23 · 16:59V. Ivnytskyi1.731111113D. Aldayev2.009690LSep 23 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi3.2511108101R. Boklah1.3371211123WSep 23 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.20118111082V. Ivnytskyi1.61811912113LSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731WSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113WSep 21 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.1011119622V. Ivnytskyi1.67481111113WSep 21 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi4.50117118113R. Boklah1.1741161152LSep 21 · 13:30O. Kolos1.201111113V. Ivnytskyi4.337670LSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.67881141V. Klymenko2.1011115113LSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670
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