TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi vs Roman Boklah 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11710128111012––
Roman Boklah
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Ivnytskyi above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Roman Boklah at 70.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Ivnytskyi 1–4 Roman Boklah Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Boklah
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Boklah
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ivnytskyi 1045 vs Boklah 1105
Boklah
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ivnytskyi 80% vs Boklah 40%
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ivnytskyi 60% vs Boklah 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ivnytskyi +2 · Boklah -3
Boklah
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Boklah)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIvnytskyi 3.25 / Boklah 1.33
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Boklah)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13180117
Ivnytskyi3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Boklah1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 56 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeIvnytskyi1wins
AwayBoklah4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderBoklah leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIvnytskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBoklah100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ivnytskyi2Boklah3n = 5Boklah took 3 of 5
S2Ivnytskyi0Boklah5n = 5Boklah took 5 of 5
S3Ivnytskyi1Boklah4n = 5Boklah took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricIvnytskyiBoklahI − BBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match30.436.6−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIvnytskyiBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 108 vs 259 / 61338%42.3%41 / 108 vs 259 / 613Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahIvnytskyi 3.25/Boklah 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 21 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi48117118113R. Boklah3741161152
LSep 19 · 06:30V. Ivnytskyi4311971152R. Boklah47711117113
LMay 9 · 10:00V. Ivnytskyi269980R. Boklah331111113
LMay 4 · 16:30V. Ivnytskyi173860R. Boklah331111113
LMar 7 · 09:00V. Ivnytskyi187740R. Boklah331111113
V. Ivnytskyi10
WSep 23 · 16:59V. Ivnytskyi1.731111113D. Aldayev2.009690WSep 23 · 15:00O. Kolos1.17111011892V. Ivnytskyi4.50812711113WSep 23 · 14:00D. Aldayev2.20118111082V. Ivnytskyi1.61811912113LSep 23 · 12:30V. Klymenko2.3851111113V. Ivnytskyi1.53119731WSep 21 · 17:14V. Klymenko1.837150V. Ivnytskyi1.831111113WSep 21 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.1011119622V. Ivnytskyi1.67481111113WSep 21 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi4.50117118113R. Boklah1.1741161152LSep 21 · 13:30O. Kolos1.201111113V. Ivnytskyi4.337670LSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.67881141V. Klymenko2.1011115113LSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670
R. Boklah10
LSep 23 · 14:30V. Klymenko2.381111113R. Boklah1.534590LSep 23 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.3311121115113R. Boklah1.2081471742LSep 23 · 12:00O. Kolos2.7511614113R. Boklah1.404111271WSep 21 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4451111113O. Kolos2.63115571WSep 21 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.75114711102R. Boklah1.40711114123LSep 21 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi4.50117118113R. Boklah1.1741161152WSep 21 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.33711117112R. Boklah1.20116511133WSep 21 · 12:00O. Kolos2.506119101R. Boklah1.5011511123WSep 20 · 17:09R. Boklah2.10711811103S. Priadko1.6711811582WSep 20 · 16:00S. Priadko1.571171461R. Boklah2.25131112113
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