TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Staniczek vs Dariusz Molenda 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
6.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811711––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.04
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 77.7% is still 77.7%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
77.7%
77.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
511811711––––
H2H Adam Staniczek 1–13 Dariusz Molenda Adam Staniczek has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (87%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-13 in 14
Molenda
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1243 vs Molenda 1641
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 398 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 40% vs Molenda 60%
Molenda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 40% vs Molenda 80%
Molenda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek +1 · Molenda +3
Molenda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molenda form (60%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 6.70 / Molenda 1.04
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Molenda)+3.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13184472
Staniczek6.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 119 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back11% 34 of 305
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 229
Molenda1.04
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite81% won 115 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it98% 77 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it93% 99 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek1wins
AwayMolenda9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMolenda leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMolenda87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek2Molenda8n = 10Molenda took 8 of 10
S2Staniczek3Molenda7n = 10Molenda took 7 of 10
S3Staniczek1Molenda9n = 10Molenda took 9 of 10
S4Staniczek1Molenda4n = 5Molenda took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekMolendaS − MBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.838.3−11.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 1006 vs 221 / 28036.4%78.9%366 / 1006 vs 221 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.62.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolendaStaniczek 6.70/Molenda 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 20:45A. Staniczek145270D. Molenda331111113
LSep 3 · 20:45A. Staniczek229850D. Molenda331111113
WAug 27 · 18:20A. Staniczek48711811113D. Molenda4011611482
LAug 6 · 20:45A. Staniczek31181751D. Molenda49161111113
LJul 30 · 20:45A. Staniczek25431171D. Molenda4111118113
LJul 23 · 20:45A. Staniczek185490D. Molenda331111113
LJul 16 · 18:20A. Staniczek3711113842D. Molenda47861111113
LJul 9 · 22:20A. Staniczek28811541D. Molenda4011711113
LMay 28 · 21:30A. Staniczek186660D. Molenda331111113
LMay 7 · 21:30A. Staniczek2798100D. Molenda341111123
A. Staniczek10
WSep 24 · 02:10A. Staniczek3.401111113Z. Nocun1.303980LSep 24 · 24:35K. Delikatny1.8311911113A. Staniczek1.83811991LSep 23 · 23:45J. Skorupa1.407111415113A. Staniczek2.75114121752WSep 23 · 22:55A. Staniczek3.40111184113A. Kubiak1.3053111192LSep 23 · 21:45A. Staniczek3.25116461M. Lewczuk1.3391111113LSep 23 · 20:05A. Staniczek3.2531250Z. Nocun1.331114113WSep 23 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.009790A. Staniczek1.731111113WSep 23 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.3311571542A. Staniczek3.257111113113LSep 23 · 16:55A. Staniczek3.00121340A. Kubiak1.361415113LSep 23 · 15:50A. Staniczek2.20109100A. Skupinski1.611211123
D. Molenda10
LSep 24 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2351111862M. Lewczuk3.80119611113WSep 17 · 22:20K. Kwiatkowski2.751011461D. Molenda1.3712811113WSep 17 · 21:30J. Michalik4.355780D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 17 · 20:45D. Molenda1.081111113A. Staniczek5.605270LSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123LSep 17 · 18:20A. Krezel4.701112113D. Molenda1.1391090WSep 10 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.205840D. Molenda1.571111113WSep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.50131260D. Molenda1.251514113WSep 10 · 20:45D. Molenda1.1011811113M. Machelski5.20511261WSep 10 · 19:10D. Molenda1.2811711113J. Zelezik3.15611591
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