TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmitriy Kim vs Danylo Us 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Dmitriy Kim
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113115711611––
Danylo Us
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:28 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmitriy Kim above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 59.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Dmitriy Kim 29–27 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-27 in 56
Kim
Wrong
gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kim 1555 vs Us 1436
Kim
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kim 60% vs Us 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kim 50% vs Us 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kim -1 · Us +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Us form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKim 1.67 / Us 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kim)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13180406
Kim1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 72 of 115
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 47 of 60
Us2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 47 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back22% 17 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKim9wins
AwayUs1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKim leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKim80%4 of 5
AwayUs0%0 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kim5Us5n = 10split evenly
S2Kim8Us2n = 10Kim took 8 of 10
S3Kim8Us2n = 10Kim took 8 of 10
S4Kim6Us2n = 8Kim took 6 of 8
S5Kim2Us1n = 3Kim took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKimUsK − UBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.335.9+7.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKimUsBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 1006 vs 204 / 47748.8%42.8%491 / 1006 vs 204 / 477Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimKim 1.67/Us 2.10
Miss
What we said
59%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 02:35D. Kim4411611882D. Us44511611113
WSep 7 · 22:05D. Kim45101311113D. Us371211771
WSep 2 · 21:35D. Kim51911117133D. Us42115411112
WAug 26 · 22:05D. Kim4411811143D. Us397119121
WAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim3941113113D. Us381191171
WAug 9 · 21:35D. Kim331111113D. Us175480
WAug 6 · 24:35D. Kim4291111113D. Us36117991
WJul 10 · 24:05D. Kim549111211113D. Us4511514692
WJul 7 · 04:05D. Kim4111118113D. Us34971171
WJul 2 · 21:35D. Kim401111183D. Us2765160
D. Kim10
LSep 24 · 04:05M. Fomin2.2061112113D. Kim1.611151031LSep 24 · 24:35M. Skliar2.381613113D. Kim1.53141160WSep 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7331171192D. Kim2.00113113113WSep 23 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.614860D. Kim2.201111113LSep 22 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi2.381361011113D. Kim1.53111112562WSep 22 · 02:35D. Kim1.8012119113Y. Stepanchuk1.911071191LSep 22 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.4411711123D. Kim2.638118101WSep 21 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.83119145112D. Kim1.838111211133WSep 21 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov1.801141341D. Kim1.9191115113LSep 21 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011911113D. Kim1.91811661
D. Us10
LSep 24 · 03:35M. Skliar2.00111288113D. Us1.73910111152WSep 24 · 01:05A. Peretiatko2.008680D. Us1.731111113LSep 23 · 23:05M. Fomin1.579101212113D. Us2.251112101082WSep 23 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61411671D. Us2.2011711113LSep 21 · 19:25D. Us1.731211761A. Peretiatko2.0014811113WSep 21 · 17:55D. Us1.67812124133P. Ishchyk2.1011101011112WSep 21 · 16:25D. Us2.63129811113D. Rehotun1.44101111782LSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.67126126113M. Skliar2.101011101172LSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132
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