TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasily Verbyany vs Andrii Grebeniuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411911––––
Andrii Grebeniuk
Away
1.14
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeAndrii Grebeniuk to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Andrii Grebeniuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 51 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Andrii Grebeniuk at 84.9%
51 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 6–29 Andrii Grebeniuk Vasily Verbyany has won 6 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Grebeniuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-29 in 35
Grebeniuk
Correct
gap of 23 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Verbyany 2010 vs Grebeniuk 2054
Grebeniuk
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Verbyany 40% vs Grebeniuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verbyany 50% vs Grebeniuk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Verbyany -3 · Grebeniuk -2
Verbyany
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grebeniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 5.00 / Grebeniuk 1.14
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13179724
Verbyany5.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 96 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 78
Grebeniuk1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 30 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany1wins
AwayGrebeniuk9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany25%1 of 4
AwayGrebeniuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany4Grebeniuk6n = 10Grebeniuk took 6 of 10
S2Verbyany3Grebeniuk7n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S3Verbyany2Grebeniuk6n = 8Grebeniuk took 6 of 8
S4Verbyany1Grebeniuk4n = 5Grebeniuk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyGrebeniukV − GBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.436.9−8.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyGrebeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 816 vs 111 / 14942%74.5%343 / 816 vs 111 / 149Avg sets wonper match1.82.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukVerbyany 5.00/Grebeniuk 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.9%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grebeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany28911621A. Grebeniuk4111811113
LJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany3511291122A. Grebeniuk46511118113
WNov 11 · 09:35V. Verbyany361111143A. Grebeniuk2567120
LNov 10 · 02:00V. Verbyany126240A. Grebeniuk331111113
LOct 29 · 11:01V. Verbyany35149481A. Grebeniuk45121111113
LOct 28 · 03:30V. Verbyany29115491A. Grebeniuk3521111113
LAug 25 · 17:35V. Verbyany248790A. Grebeniuk331111113
V. Verbyany10
LSep 23 · 07:35V. Verbyany1.6761011131B. Kohut2.1011126153LSep 23 · 06:05V. Verbyany1.835560A. Molochko1.831111113LSep 23 · 04:35V. Verbyany1.736940D. Zeniuk2.001111113WSep 22 · 17:43V. Verbyany2.251111113N. Danyliuk1.578390WSep 22 · 15:35A. Molochko1.57119112102V. Verbyany2.25511911123WSep 22 · 14:35V. Verbyany1.6711911113D. Zeniuk2.10711821LSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770WSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491LSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut1.1411116123V. Verbyany5.005511101WSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113
A. Grebeniuk10
LSep 23 · 08:05A. Grebeniuk1.30101114982A. Molochko3.401281211113LSep 23 · 07:05N. Danyliuk2.631111511113A. Grebeniuk1.4476111382WSep 23 · 05:35A. Grebeniuk1.171111113B. Kohut4.509830LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181
Upcoming Matches
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