TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasily Verbyany vs Bohdan Kohut 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61110121161315––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:19 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 84 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 58.6%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 53–56 Bohdan Kohut Vasily Verbyany has won 53 of their 109 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 17:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Verbyany
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-56 in 109
Kohut
Correct
gap of 3 in 109, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Verbyany 2026 vs Kohut 1907
Verbyany
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Verbyany 60% vs Kohut 20%
Verbyany
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verbyany 50% vs Kohut 30%
Verbyany
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Verbyany -2 · Kohut +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Verbyany)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 1.67 / Kohut 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Verbyany)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13179732
Verbyany1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Kohut2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 110 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back17% 27 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany7wins
AwayKohut3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVerbyany leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany100%5 of 5
AwayKohut60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany5Kohut5n = 10split evenly
S2Verbyany6Kohut4n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S3Verbyany8Kohut2n = 10Verbyany took 8 of 10
S4Verbyany4Kohut4n = 8split evenly
S5Verbyany3Kohut2n = 5Verbyany took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyKohutV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.838.2+4.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 815 vs 295 / 66942.1%44.1%343 / 815 vs 295 / 669Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerbyanyVerbyany 1.67/Kohut 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Verbyany · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany3961111113B. Kohut29115491
LSep 22 · 01:18V. Verbyany315511101B. Kohut4011116123
LSep 21 · 20:30V. Verbyany51131111972B. Kohut50155811113
WSep 15 · 07:55V. Verbyany46111194113B. Kohut4046111182
WSep 14 · 12:55V. Verbyany503111411113B. Kohut45111312182
WSep 13 · 20:45V. Verbyany341112113B. Kohut2261060
WSep 11 · 07:55V. Verbyany45111011133B. Kohut356126111
WSep 8 · 05:35V. Verbyany52118148113B. Kohut48811121162
WSep 7 · 15:35V. Verbyany401113163B. Kohut28311140
LAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany4051161172B. Kohut45114118113
V. Verbyany10
LSep 23 · 06:05V. Verbyany1.835560A. Molochko1.831111113LSep 23 · 04:35V. Verbyany1.736940D. Zeniuk2.001111113WSep 22 · 17:43V. Verbyany2.251111113N. Danyliuk1.578390WSep 22 · 15:35A. Molochko1.57119112102V. Verbyany2.25511911123WSep 22 · 14:35V. Verbyany1.6711911113D. Zeniuk2.10711821LSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770WSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491LSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut1.1411116123V. Verbyany5.005511101WSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113LSep 21 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.67111011752D. Zeniuk2.10712611113
B. Kohut10
WSep 23 · 06:35B. Kohut1.8311116113D. Zeniuk1.83131171LSep 23 · 05:35A. Grebeniuk1.171111113B. Kohut4.509830LSep 22 · 16:05B. Kohut1.73881131D. Zeniuk2.0011117113LSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk1.301111113B. Kohut3.409880LSep 22 · 14:05A. Molochko1.401115143B. Kohut2.75913120LSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491WSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut1.1411116123V. Verbyany5.005511101WSep 22 · 24:00B. Kohut1.7311121011113D. Zeniuk2.0091412572LSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.251111123B. Kohut3.7568100LSep 21 · 22:00A. Molochko1.361112113B. Kohut3.0091080
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.