TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Nazar Danyliuk vs Bohdan Kohut 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181210––––
Bohdan Kohut
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:44 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Bohdan Kohut below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 79.4%
58 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 85–34 Bohdan Kohut Bohdan Kohut has won 34 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Danyliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-34 in 119
Danyliuk
Correct
gap of 51 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2148 vs Kohut 1916
Danyliuk
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 40% vs Kohut 60%
Kohut
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 60% vs Kohut 40%
Danyliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk -2 · Kohut -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kohut form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.25 / Kohut 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13168480
Danyliuk1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 170 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it94% 85 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it82% 126 of 154
Kohut3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 109 of 296
Down 0–1, comes back17% 27 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk8wins
AwayKohut2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk100%6 of 6
AwayKohut50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk6Kohut4n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S2Danyliuk9Kohut1n = 10Danyliuk took 9 of 10
S3Danyliuk7Kohut3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S4Danyliuk2Kohut2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukKohutD − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.028.7+7.3per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukKohutBasisWin rate · lifetime591 / 965 vs 292 / 66161.2%44.2%591 / 965 vs 292 / 661Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.25/Kohut 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk341111123B. Kohut2468100
LSep 15 · 08:55N. Danyliuk378111171B. Kohut3911413113
WSep 14 · 15:25N. Danyliuk46111174133B. Kohut45841111112
WSep 13 · 23:15N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut198920
LSep 11 · 09:55N. Danyliuk2681080B. Kohut341112113
WSep 10 · 15:55N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut208840
WSep 8 · 09:35N. Danyliuk4181111113B. Kohut33115981
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut194870
WAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk44111111113B. Kohut31136661
WAug 25 · 08:05N. Danyliuk331111113B. Kohut238690
N. Danyliuk10
LSep 21 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.61911581V. Verbyany2.2011411113LSep 21 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.30711761D. Zeniuk3.4011411113WSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123LSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171WSep 15 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.301011119113D. Zeniuk3.4012741192WSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.506860WSep 15 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.7331111113A. Molochko2.00118961LSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany2.208101111113N. Danyliuk1.6111125112WSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133WSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241
B. Kohut10
LSep 21 · 22:00A. Molochko1.361112113B. Kohut3.0091080WSep 21 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.67131111972B. Kohut2.10155811113WSep 15 · 09:23D. Zeniuk2.0081181182B. Kohut1.73116118113WSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171LSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut2.2046111182V. Verbyany1.61111194113LSep 15 · 06:25B. Kohut1.737970D. Zeniuk2.001111113WSep 15 · 05:25B. Kohut2.501112113A. Molochko1.5031070LSep 14 · 17:34D. Zeniuk2.101411113B. Kohut1.6712850LSep 14 · 16:25B. Kohut2.631811111182A. Molochko1.44201369113LSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133
Upcoming Matches
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B. Kohut
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