TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Nazar Danyliuk vs Vasily Verbyany 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911114511811––
Vasily Verbyany
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeNazar Danyliuk to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Nazar Danyliuk at 62.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 187–73 Vasily Verbyany Vasily Verbyany has won 73 of their 260 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Danyliuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
187-73 in 260
Danyliuk
Wrong
gap of 114 in 260, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danyliuk 2158 vs Verbyany 2029
Danyliuk
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danyliuk 60% vs Verbyany 40%
Danyliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danyliuk 70% vs Verbyany 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danyliuk -1 · Verbyany -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 1.61 / Verbyany 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Danyliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13168521
Danyliuk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 170 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it94% 85 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it82% 126 of 154
Verbyany2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk7wins
AwayVerbyany3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayVerbyany66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk7Verbyany3n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S2Danyliuk6Verbyany4n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S3Danyliuk6Verbyany4n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Danyliuk4Verbyany1n = 5Danyliuk took 4 of 5
S5Danyliuk2Verbyany2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukVerbyanyD − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.733.4+3.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime593 / 966 vs 337 / 80461.4%41.9%593 / 966 vs 337 / 804Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukDanyliuk 1.61/Verbyany 2.20
Miss
What we said
62.1%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Verbyany won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 09:53N. Danyliuk341111123V. Verbyany2798100
WSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk331111113V. Verbyany206860
LSep 14 · 17:04N. Danyliuk3011125112V. Verbyany518101111113
WSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk46111014113V. Verbyany379121241
WSep 13 · 21:45N. Danyliuk341211113V. Verbyany2110830
WSep 11 · 10:55N. Danyliuk50118711133V. Verbyany47511119112
WSep 8 · 07:05N. Danyliuk50981111113V. Verbyany3411117232
LSep 7 · 14:35N. Danyliuk101720V. Verbyany331111113
WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk331111113V. Verbyany187740
LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk4781191182V. Verbyany46114119113
N. Danyliuk10
LSep 21 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.30711761D. Zeniuk3.4011411113WSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123LSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171WSep 15 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.301011119113D. Zeniuk3.4012741192WSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.506860WSep 15 · 04:25N. Danyliuk1.7331111113A. Molochko2.00118961LSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany2.208101111113N. Danyliuk1.6111125112WSep 14 · 15:25B. Kohut3.50841111112N. Danyliuk1.28111174133WSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241WSep 14 · 13:25A. Molochko2.001010100N. Danyliuk1.731212123
V. Verbyany10
LSep 21 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.67131111972B. Kohut2.10155811113LSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123WSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut2.2046111182V. Verbyany1.61111194113WSep 15 · 06:55V. Verbyany2.2511711123A. Molochko1.578117101LSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.506860WSep 15 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.67119118113D. Zeniuk2.1091121182WSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany2.208101111113N. Danyliuk1.6111125112WSep 14 · 15:55D. Zeniuk2.10411491V. Verbyany1.6711911113LSep 14 · 14:25N. Danyliuk1.53111014113V. Verbyany2.389121241WSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut2.00111312182V. Verbyany1.733111411113
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