TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasily Verbyany vs Anton Molochko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511611––––
Anton Molochko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVasily Verbyany to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Anton Molochko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Vasily Verbyany at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 80–155 Anton Molochko Vasily Verbyany has won 80 of their 235 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:20What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Molochko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
80-155 in 235
Molochko
Correct
gap of 75 in 235, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Verbyany 2026 vs Molochko 1920
Verbyany
Wrong
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Verbyany 60% vs Molochko 20%
Verbyany
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Verbyany 60% vs Molochko 40%
Verbyany
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Verbyany -1 · Molochko -4
Molochko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Verbyany)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 1.83 / Molochko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Verbyany)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179758
Verbyany1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Molochko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany8wins
AwayMolochko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVerbyany leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany100%5 of 5
AwayMolochko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany5Molochko5n = 10split evenly
S2Verbyany6Molochko4n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S3Verbyany5Molochko5n = 10split evenly
S4Verbyany7Molochko0n = 7Verbyany took 7 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyMolochkoV − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.932.2+4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyMolochkoBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 815 vs 533 / 92242.1%57.8%343 / 815 vs 533 / 922Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VerbyanyVerbyany 1.83/Molochko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Verbyany · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 06:05V. Verbyany165560A. Molochko331111113
WSep 22 · 15:35V. Verbyany48511911123A. Molochko43119112102
WSep 21 · 23:30V. Verbyany4291111113A. Molochko34116981
WSep 15 · 06:55V. Verbyany4111711123A. Molochko368117101
WSep 14 · 11:55V. Verbyany331111113A. Molochko155460
LSep 14 · 01:19V. Verbyany176920A. Molochko331111113
WSep 13 · 23:45V. Verbyany4111811113A. Molochko25811511
WSep 11 · 06:55V. Verbyany3711114113A. Molochko30651181
WSep 8 · 09:05V. Verbyany4991613113A. Molochko4011141141
WSep 7 · 16:35V. Verbyany45111310113A. Molochko335111251
V. Verbyany10
LSep 23 · 04:35V. Verbyany1.736940D. Zeniuk2.001111113WSep 22 · 17:43V. Verbyany2.251111113N. Danyliuk1.578390WSep 22 · 15:35A. Molochko1.57119112102V. Verbyany2.25511911123WSep 22 · 14:35V. Verbyany1.6711911113D. Zeniuk2.10711821LSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770WSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491LSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut1.1411116123V. Verbyany5.005511101WSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113LSep 21 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.67111011752D. Zeniuk2.10712611113WSep 21 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.61911581V. Verbyany2.2011411113
A. Molochko10
LSep 23 · 05:05N. Danyliuk1.80131187113A. Molochko1.91112111162LSep 22 · 17:15D. Zeniuk2.001211113A. Molochko1.7310970LSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko2.10138931N. Danyliuk1.67111111113LSep 22 · 15:35A. Molochko1.57119112102V. Verbyany2.25511911123WSep 22 · 14:05A. Molochko1.401115143B. Kohut2.75913120WSep 22 · 13:05A. Molochko1.83611811113D. Zeniuk1.8311911492LSep 22 · 01:38D. Zeniuk1.80611911123A. Molochko1.91118119102WSep 22 · 24:30A. Molochko1.91113119113N. Danyliuk1.8081171152LSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113WSep 21 · 22:00A. Molochko1.361112113B. Kohut3.0091080
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