TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasily Verbyany vs Nazar Danyliuk 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118113119––––
Nazar Danyliuk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Nazar Danyliuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 53 set 3, 11-9
53 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 74–188 Nazar Danyliuk Vasily Verbyany has won 74 of their 262 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Danyliuk beat Verbyany 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Danyliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Verbyany form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 2.25 / Danyliuk 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Danyliuk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179822
Verbyany2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 94 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back21% 29 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 77
Danyliuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 171 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it95% 86 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it82% 127 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany3wins
AwayDanyliuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDanyliuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany66.7%2 of 3
AwayDanyliuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany3Danyliuk7n = 10Danyliuk took 7 of 10
S2Verbyany4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S3Verbyany4Danyliuk6n = 10Danyliuk took 6 of 10
S4Verbyany2Danyliuk3n = 5Danyliuk took 3 of 5
S5Verbyany1Danyliuk2n = 3Danyliuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyDanyliukV − DBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.735.3−2.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyDanyliukBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 812 vs 589 / 96442.1%61.1%342 / 812 vs 589 / 964Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanyliukVerbyany 2.25/Danyliuk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Danyliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Verbyany won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 13:35V. Verbyany206770N. Danyliuk331111113
WSep 21 · 21:30V. Verbyany3711411113N. Danyliuk33911581
LSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2798100N. Danyliuk341111123
LSep 15 · 05:55V. Verbyany206860N. Danyliuk331111113
WSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany518101111113N. Danyliuk3011125112
LSep 14 · 14:25V. Verbyany379121241N. Danyliuk46111014113
LSep 13 · 21:45V. Verbyany2110830N. Danyliuk341211113
LSep 11 · 10:55V. Verbyany47511119112N. Danyliuk50118711133
LSep 8 · 07:05V. Verbyany3411117232N. Danyliuk50981111113
WSep 7 · 14:35V. Verbyany331111113N. Danyliuk101720
V. Verbyany10
WSep 22 · 15:35A. Molochko1.57119112102V. Verbyany2.25511911123WSep 22 · 14:35V. Verbyany1.6711911113D. Zeniuk2.10711821LSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770WSep 22 · 12:35V. Verbyany1.6161111113B. Kohut2.20115491LSep 22 · 01:18B. Kohut1.1411116123V. Verbyany5.005511101WSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113LSep 21 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.67111011752D. Zeniuk2.10712611113WSep 21 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.61911581V. Verbyany2.2011411113LSep 21 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.67131111972B. Kohut2.10155811113LSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 22 · 16:35A. Molochko2.10138931N. Danyliuk1.67111111113WSep 22 · 15:05N. Danyliuk1.301111113B. Kohut3.409880WSep 22 · 13:35N. Danyliuk1.441111113V. Verbyany2.636770LSep 22 · 12:05N. Danyliuk1.25117951D. Zeniuk3.7591111113LSep 22 · 24:30A. Molochko1.91113119113N. Danyliuk1.8081171152WSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.251111123B. Kohut3.7568100LSep 21 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.61911581V. Verbyany2.2011411113LSep 21 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.30711761D. Zeniuk3.4011411113WSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123LSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171
Upcoming Matches
V. Verbyany
N. Danyliuk
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