TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Bohdan Kohut vs Vasily Verbyany 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151156111210––
Vasily Verbyany
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Vasily Verbyany below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 45 set 4, 12-10
45 points drawn · the score is 26 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 55–52 Vasily Verbyany Vasily Verbyany has won 52 of their 107 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kohut beat Verbyany 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Kohut)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Verbyany form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 1.14 / Verbyany 5.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Kohut)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13174112
Kohut1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 32 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Verbyany5.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 92 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back20% 28 of 138
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKohut3wins
AwayVerbyany7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVerbyany leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut75%3 of 4
AwayVerbyany100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut4Verbyany6n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S2Kohut4Verbyany6n = 10Verbyany took 6 of 10
S3Kohut3Verbyany7n = 10Verbyany took 7 of 10
S4Kohut3Verbyany3n = 6split evenly
S5Kohut2Verbyany3n = 5Verbyany took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKohutVerbyanyK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.141.5−4.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutVerbyanyBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 662 vs 339 / 80744.3%42%293 / 662 vs 339 / 807Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KohutKohut 1.14/Verbyany 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Kohut · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 20:30B. Kohut50155811113V. Verbyany51131111972
LSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut4046111182V. Verbyany46111194113
LSep 14 · 12:55B. Kohut45111312182V. Verbyany503111411113
LSep 13 · 20:45B. Kohut2261060V. Verbyany341112113
LSep 11 · 07:55B. Kohut356126111V. Verbyany45111011133
LSep 8 · 05:35B. Kohut48811121162V. Verbyany52118148113
LSep 7 · 15:35B. Kohut28311140V. Verbyany401113163
WAug 30 · 21:00B. Kohut45114118113V. Verbyany4051161172
WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut331111113V. Verbyany239950
LAug 24 · 13:05B. Kohut2510870V. Verbyany341211113
B. Kohut10
WSep 22 · 24:00B. Kohut1.7311121011113D. Zeniuk2.0091412572LSep 21 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.251111123B. Kohut3.7568100LSep 21 · 22:00A. Molochko1.361112113B. Kohut3.0091080WSep 21 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.67131111972B. Kohut2.10155811113WSep 15 · 09:23D. Zeniuk2.0081181182B. Kohut1.73116118113WSep 15 · 08:55B. Kohut3.5011413113N. Danyliuk1.288111171LSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut2.2046111182V. Verbyany1.61111194113LSep 15 · 06:25B. Kohut1.737970D. Zeniuk2.001111113WSep 15 · 05:25B. Kohut2.501112113A. Molochko1.5031070LSep 14 · 17:34D. Zeniuk2.101411113B. Kohut1.6712850
V. Verbyany10
WSep 21 · 23:30A. Molochko1.57116981V. Verbyany2.2591111113LSep 21 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.67111011752D. Zeniuk2.10712611113WSep 21 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.61911581V. Verbyany2.2011411113LSep 21 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.67131111972B. Kohut2.10155811113LSep 15 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.2098100N. Danyliuk1.611111123WSep 15 · 07:55B. Kohut2.2046111182V. Verbyany1.61111194113WSep 15 · 06:55V. Verbyany2.2511711123A. Molochko1.578117101LSep 15 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.506860WSep 15 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.67119118113D. Zeniuk2.1091121182WSep 14 · 17:04V. Verbyany2.208101111113N. Danyliuk1.6111125112
Upcoming Matches
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V. Verbyany
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