TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Szostak vs Kiejda Patryk 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Szostak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811511711––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Szostak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
115811511711––
H2H Michal Szostak 4–4 Kiejda Patryk Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Patryk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostak 1427 vs Patryk 1404
Szostak
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostak 60% vs Patryk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostak 50% vs Patryk 30%
Szostak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostak -1 · Patryk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostak 2.10 / Patryk 1.65
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Patryk)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13179190
Szostak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 27 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back34% 12 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Patryk1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 102 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it77% 79 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSzostak4wins
AwayPatryk4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostak75%3 of 4
AwayPatryk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostak4Patryk4n = 8split evenly
S2Szostak4Patryk4n = 8split evenly
S3Szostak4Patryk4n = 8split evenly
S4Szostak2Patryk3n = 5Patryk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricSzostakPatrykS − PBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.937.6−1.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostakPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 250 vs 190 / 34249.6%55.6%124 / 250 vs 190 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykSzostak 2.10/Patryk 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Patryk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 9 · 19:30M. Szostak361211133K. Patryk30109110
WAug 30 · 12:05M. Szostak541211119113K. Patryk4914781192
LAug 25 · 16:30M. Szostak249690K. Patryk331111113
LAug 22 · 12:05M. Szostak27931141K. Patryk4111118113
LAug 18 · 18:30M. Szostak4111116672K. Patryk47681111113
WJun 23 · 16:30M. Szostak4011711113K. Patryk33811951
WJun 15 · 16:30M. Szostak4211118123K. Patryk357711101
LJun 9 · 17:30M. Szostak239860K. Patryk331111113
M. Szostak10
WSep 22 · 18:30J. Komorowicz1.959860M. Szostak1.741111113LSep 22 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.401111113M. Szostak1.507680WSep 22 · 16:00M. Szostak1.95111187133D. Kovtanyuk1.74691111112LSep 9 · 20:30K. Kos1.771211113M. Szostak1.9310980WSep 9 · 19:30M. Szostak2.051211133K. Patryk1.68109110WSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.74811111382M. Szostak1.951191311113LSep 9 · 16:30K. Kos1.6516611113M. Szostak2.101411851WSep 9 · 16:00M. Szostak1.49111679113P. Kedzierski2.34614111142LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113
K. Patryk10
LSep 22 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.38911139113K. Patryk1.41118111192WSep 22 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.48351181K. Patryk1.3811119113WSep 21 · 21:30D. Kovtanyuk—4250K. Patryk—1111113LSep 21 · 20:30M. Michta1.85101111113K. Patryk1.85129741WSep 21 · 19:30K. Kos2.051431171K. Patryk1.6616118113LSep 21 · 18:00L. Buklat1.8671112143K. Patryk1.8011410121LSep 21 · 15:30J. Caban2.0514124113K. Patryk1.6812101161LSep 21 · 14:00D. Kovtanyuk1.85111147113K. Patryk1.8578111152LSep 9 · 19:30M. Szostak2.051211133K. Patryk1.68109110LAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Szostak
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K. Patryk
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