TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Komorowicz vs Michal Szostak 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811611––––
Michal Szostak
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:22 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Szostak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
911811611––––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 14–14 Michal Szostak Dead even across their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:22What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Szostak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-14 in 28
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1331 vs Szostak 1415
Szostak
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 20% vs Szostak 40%
Szostak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 30% vs Szostak 50%
Szostak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -1 · Szostak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szostak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostak form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 1.95 / Szostak 1.74
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Szostak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13179704
Komorowicz1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Szostak1.74
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 17 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKomorowicz4wins
AwaySzostak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSzostak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz66.7%4 of 6
AwaySzostak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz6Szostak4n = 10Komorowicz took 6 of 10
S2Komorowicz4Szostak6n = 10Szostak took 6 of 10
S3Komorowicz1Szostak9n = 10Szostak took 9 of 10
S4Komorowicz5Szostak3n = 8Komorowicz took 5 of 8
S5Komorowicz3Szostak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKomorowiczSzostakK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.943.7−2.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczSzostakBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 507 vs 124 / 25144.8%49.4%227 / 507 vs 124 / 251Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostakKomorowicz 1.95/Szostak 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Szostak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szostak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz51811111382M. Szostak551191311113
LAug 25 · 17:30J. Komorowicz48117111272M. Szostak505111310113
LAug 22 · 10:05J. Komorowicz47101171542M. Szostak551281113113
LAug 18 · 21:30J. Komorowicz331175101M. Szostak3951111123
WAug 18 · 20:30J. Komorowicz521210811113M. Szostak45101211482
WJun 23 · 20:30J. Komorowicz43111110113M. Szostak36961291
LJun 15 · 21:30J. Komorowicz247890M. Szostak331111113
WJun 15 · 17:30J. Komorowicz42114115113M. Szostak4491191142
LJun 9 · 20:30J. Komorowicz199370M. Szostak331111113
WJun 6 · 11:05J. Komorowicz50111198113M. Szostak4779111192
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 22 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.85911119102D. Kovtanyuk1.85119911123WSep 22 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.38911139113K. Patryk1.41118111192LSep 22 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.257820K. Kos1.541111113LSep 15 · 21:40J. Komorowicz2.15101214892F. Baranski1.6312101211113LSep 15 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.411111183J. Komorowicz2.6099160WSep 15 · 19:30F. Baranski1.9547111152J. Komorowicz1.74111166113WSep 15 · 18:00K. Kos1.449816151J. Komorowicz2.50111114173LSep 15 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.0511611113J. Komorowicz1.70211691LSep 15 · 14:00K. Patryk1.3641111123J. Komorowicz2.851169101LSep 9 · 20:00J. Komorowicz—58110K. Patryk—1111133
M. Szostak10
LSep 22 · 17:30M. Szostak2.10118571K. Patryk1.6551111113LSep 22 · 16:30P. Kedzierski2.401111113M. Szostak1.507680WSep 22 · 16:00M. Szostak1.95111187133D. Kovtanyuk1.74691111112LSep 9 · 20:30K. Kos1.771211113M. Szostak1.9310980WSep 9 · 19:30M. Szostak2.051211133K. Patryk1.68109110WSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.74811111382M. Szostak1.951191311113LSep 9 · 16:30K. Kos1.6516611113M. Szostak2.101411851WSep 9 · 16:00M. Szostak1.49111679113P. Kedzierski2.34614111142LAug 30 · 14:05W. Arkadiusz1.661110138113M. Szostak2.10712111192WAug 30 · 12:05K. Patryk1.6014781192M. Szostak2.201211119113
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