TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13136425
Played Sep 15Finished
Filip Baranski
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411711116116511
Jakub Komorowicz
Away
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
411711116116511
H2H Filip Baranski 2–2 Jakub Komorowicz Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:13What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Komorowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Baranski 1179 vs Komorowicz 1323
Komorowicz
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Baranski 40% vs Komorowicz 20%
Baranski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Baranski 30% vs Komorowicz 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Baranski -3 · Komorowicz +1
Baranski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Komorowicz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaranski 1.95 / Komorowicz 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Komorowicz)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13136425
Baranski1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Komorowicz1.74
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 29 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBaranski2wins
AwayKomorowicz2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baranski2Komorowicz2n = 4split evenly
S2Baranski3Komorowicz1n = 4Baranski took 3 of 4
S3Baranski2Komorowicz2n = 4split evenly
S4Baranski0Komorowicz4n = 4Komorowicz took 4 of 4
S5Baranski2Komorowicz1n = 3Baranski took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBaranskiKomorowiczB − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.848.8−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranskiKomorowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 33 vs 225 / 49827.3%45.2%9 / 33 vs 225 / 498Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczBaranski 1.95/Komorowicz 1.74
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Komorowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski46711116113J. Komorowicz4811991182
LAug 14 · 16:30F. Baranski5111204792J. Komorowicz565181111113
LJul 19 · 07:35F. Baranski341113281J. Komorowicz4141511113
WJul 4 · 06:35F. Baranski528111111113J. Komorowicz5011981392
F. Baranski10
LSep 15 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.3611119113F. Baranski2.80991171LSep 15 · 15:00K. Patryk1.4661111113F. Baranski2.50115881LSep 15 · 14:30K. Kos1.38111112113F. Baranski2.75681461WSep 1 · 21:30F. Baranski1.59114711123K. Kos2.24711116102WSep 1 · 20:00F. Baranski2.85138119113K. Kos1.33111151182LSep 1 · 18:30F. Baranski—61111562P. Kamil—114911113WSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182LSep 1 · 15:00F. Baranski—51161552K. Patryk—1151113113LSep 1 · 14:00F. Baranski—9960W. Arkadiusz—1111113LAug 14 · 21:40P. Kamil—11111113F. Baranski—411551
J. Komorowicz10
LSep 15 · 20:30W. Arkadiusz1.411111183J. Komorowicz2.6099160WSep 15 · 18:00K. Kos1.449816151J. Komorowicz2.50111114173LSep 15 · 15:30P. Kedzierski2.0511611113J. Komorowicz1.70211691LSep 15 · 14:00K. Patryk1.3641111123J. Komorowicz2.851169101LSep 9 · 20:00J. Komorowicz—58110K. Patryk—1111133LSep 9 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.2311591172K. Kos1.53811115113LSep 9 · 18:00J. Komorowicz1.74811111382M. Szostak1.951191311113WSep 9 · 17:00J. Komorowicz1.66118117113P. Kedzierski2.0591191182WSep 9 · 14:00J. Komorowicz2.90111111133K. Patryk1.328713111LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
Upcoming Matches
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