TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Jakub Caban
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121210411116––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:35 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Caban to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
14121210411116––
H2H Jakub Caban 5–6 Kiejda Patryk Jakub Caban has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:35What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Caban 1455 vs Patryk 1409
Caban
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Caban 80% vs Patryk 20%
Caban
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Caban 50% vs Patryk 30%
Caban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Caban +1 · Patryk -4
Patryk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Patryk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCaban 2.05 / Patryk 1.68
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Patryk)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13169911
Caban2.05
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 14) · back after a break
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog48% won 12 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Patryk1.68
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 101 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it77% 78 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCaban4wins
AwayPatryk6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPatryk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCaban33.3%1 of 3
AwayPatryk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Caban3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S2Caban3Patryk7n = 10Patryk took 7 of 10
S3Caban5Patryk5n = 10split evenly
S4Caban4Patryk4n = 8split evenly
S5Caban3Patryk2n = 5Caban took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCabanPatrykC − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.5−1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCabanPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 407 vs 187 / 33555.8%55.8%227 / 407 vs 187 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrykCaban 2.05/Patryk 1.68
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55%
Patryk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Caban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 17:30J. Caban46711611113K. Patryk4011811282
LSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban177370K. Patryk331111113
LJul 13 · 18:30J. Caban4811912972K. Patryk529111011113
LJul 6 · 19:00J. Caban133640K. Patryk331111113
LJun 30 · 17:00J. Caban411199121K. Patryk4481111143
WJun 24 · 17:30J. Caban4211911113K. Patryk29611571
WJun 9 · 21:40J. Caban51991111113K. Patryk4411117692
LJun 9 · 21:00J. Caban367118101K. Patryk4311911123
WOct 25 · 07:35J. Caban49881111113K. Patryk3411112282
LFeb 11 · 05:30J. Caban4761212982K. Patryk5311101011113
J. Caban10
WSep 21 · 16:00M. Michta1.6041480J. Caban2.101116113WSep 14 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz2.0012661192J. Caban1.721011119113LSep 14 · 18:30J. Caban1.9061111101W. Arkadiusz1.8011913123WSep 14 · 17:30K. Patryk1.6311811282J. Caban2.10711611113WSep 14 · 17:00J. Caban2.35111186113K. Kos1.5397111192WSep 14 · 16:00J. Caban2.05811128113L. Buklat1.70119101162LSep 8 · 22:00P. Kedzierski2.651114113J. Caban1.4251280LSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113LSep 8 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.80119119123J. Caban1.35811911102WSep 8 · 17:00K. Kos1.7311911772J. Caban1.98711811113
K. Patryk10
LSep 21 · 14:00D. Kovtanyuk1.85111147113K. Patryk1.8578111152LSep 15 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.9512511123K. Patryk1.7510116101LSep 15 · 20:00K. Patryk1.7612118772K. Kos1.951061111113LSep 15 · 18:30K. Patryk1.76110111492W. Arkadiusz1.90711916113WSep 15 · 17:00K. Patryk1.3311116113P. Kedzierski2.95851141WSep 15 · 15:00K. Patryk1.4661111113F. Baranski2.50115881WSep 15 · 14:00K. Patryk1.3641111123J. Komorowicz2.851169101LSep 14 · 17:30K. Patryk1.6311811282J. Caban2.10711611113LSep 14 · 16:30K. Patryk1.68691171L. Buklat2.0511117113WSep 8 · 21:00J. Caban1.957370K. Patryk1.701111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Caban
K. Patryk
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