TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Michta vs Kiejda Patryk 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Mateusz Michta
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012119117114––
Kiejda Patryk
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Michta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
1012119117114––
H2H Mateusz Michta 0–1 Kiejda Patryk Mateusz Michta has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Patryk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Michta 1494 vs Patryk 1403
Michta
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michta 40% vs Patryk 20%
Michta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michta 40% vs Patryk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michta +2 · Patryk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Michta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patryk form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichta 1.85 / Patryk 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Michta)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13172758
Michta1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Patryk1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMichta0wins
AwayPatryk1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderPatryk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMichtaPatrykM − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.048.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichtaPatrykBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 236 vs 188 / 33852.1%55.6%123 / 236 vs 188 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichtaMichta 1.85/Patryk 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Michta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 11 · 18:35M. Michta4311116692K. Patryk48691111113
M. Michta10
WSep 21 · 18:30D. Kovtanyuk1.901013781M. Michta1.76121111113WSep 21 · 17:30M. Michta1.7412611113K. Kos1.951011841LSep 21 · 16:30L. Buklat1.831211113M. Michta1.8610650LSep 21 · 16:00M. Michta1.6041480J. Caban2.101116113LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113
K. Patryk10
WSep 21 · 21:30D. Kovtanyuk—4250K. Patryk—1111113WSep 21 · 19:30K. Kos2.051431171K. Patryk1.6616118113LSep 21 · 18:00L. Buklat1.8671112143K. Patryk1.8011410121LSep 21 · 15:30J. Caban2.0514124113K. Patryk1.6812101161LSep 21 · 14:00D. Kovtanyuk1.85111147113K. Patryk1.8578111152LSep 15 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.9512511123K. Patryk1.7510116101LSep 15 · 20:00K. Patryk1.7612118772K. Kos1.951061111113LSep 15 · 18:30K. Patryk1.76110111492W. Arkadiusz1.90711916113WSep 15 · 17:00K. Patryk1.3311116113P. Kedzierski2.95851141WSep 15 · 15:00K. Patryk1.4661111113F. Baranski2.50115881
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